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Compare Mainz 05 vs Zorya

Mainz 05 vs Zorya Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Zorya: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Zorya Zorya Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Zorya
64.3
W D W W L L W D D W

Categories Won

3

Mainz 05

3

Draw

9

Zorya

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Zorya

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+6

+6

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
P. Budkivskyi (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 12
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

67.3

League Difficulty: 98.0, Opponent Quality: 66.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

2.1

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.3

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

64.3

Attack: 70.4, Defense: 70.4, Form: 58.7

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

7

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

3
Mainz 05
Zorya
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Zorya

Power Rating Breakdown

64.3

Overall

Attack 70.4
Defense 70.4
Form 58.7
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 98.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 66.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 20%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Zorya logo Zorya
W
Oleksandria (49%)
D
Metalist 1925 (74%)
W
Rukh Vynnyky (49%)
W
Veres Rivne (62%)
L
Shakhtar D (78%)
L
Dynamo Kyiv (83%)
W
Epitsentr (74%)
D
Obolon (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Oleksandria A
2 - 1 W
49%
Metalist 1925 H
1 - 1 D
74%
Rukh Vynnyky A
2 - 1 W
49%
Veres Rivne H
2 - 0 W
62%
Shakhtar D H
1 - 2 L
78%
Dynamo Kyiv A
1 - 3 L
83%
Epitsentr H
1 - 0 W
74%
Obolon A
3 - 3 D
63%
Kolos A
1 - 1 D
83%
SK Poltava H
4 - 0 W
45%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 67.3), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Zorya holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Mainz 05's 1.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Zorya has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

Zorya has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Zorya has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Zorya

Zorya

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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