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Compare Malmö vs Nacional

Malmö vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Malmö vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Malmö Malmö Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Malmö
39.9
L L W L W W D L L L

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

6

Malmö

4

Draw

5

Nacional

Performance Radar

Malmö
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 1D, 6L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Hakšabanović (3 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
25%

1W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.2

League Difficulty: 60.5, Opponent Quality: 60.1

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.44

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.04

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
39.9

Attack: 44.4, Defense: 44.4, Form: 28.6

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

Malmö
Nacional
Malmö

Power Rating Breakdown

39.9

Overall

Attack 44.4
Defense 44.4
Form 28.6
Consistency 46.0
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

60.5 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

60.1 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Malmö logo Malmö
L
Häcken (58%)
L
Mjällby (54%)
W
AIK (49%)
L
Sirius (65%)
W
Djurgården (59%)
W
GAIS (47%)
D
Örgryte (41%)
L
Genk (70%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Häcken A
2 - 3 L
58%
Mjällby H
2 - 3 L
54%
AIK A
1 - 0 W
49%
Sirius H
2 - 3 L
65%
Djurgården A
1 - 0 W
59%
GAIS H
3 - 1 W
47%
Örgryte A
1 - 1 D
41%
Genk A
1 - 2 L
70%
Red Star H
0 - 1 L
81%
Porto A
1 - 2 L
77%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.2 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Malmö holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Nacional has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Malmö's 1.6.

Malmö has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Malmö

Malmö

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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