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Compare Marseille vs Lille

Marseille vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Marseille vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Marseille Marseille Home Team
Lille Lille Away Team
Marseille
45.3
W L D L W L L W W D

Last 10 Matches

Lille
72.8
W D W D W W W L W L

Categories Won

3

Marseille

1

Draw

11

Lille

Performance Radar

Marseille
Lille

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Greenwood (3 goals)
Matías Fernández (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.7

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 59.9

75.1

League Difficulty: 85.8, Opponent Quality: 68.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.17

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.07

1.66

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.26

Adjusted Power Rating
45.3

Attack: 38.0, Defense: 58.8, Form: 41.5

72.8

Attack: 58.4, Defense: 100, Form: 75.1

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

6
1

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

2
Marseille
Lille
Marseille

Power Rating Breakdown

45.3

Overall

Attack 38.0
Defense 58.8
Form 41.5
Consistency 44.8
Lille

Power Rating Breakdown

72.8

Overall

Attack 58.4
Defense 100
Form 75.1
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 85.8

Opponent Quality

59.9 vs 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 67%
Marseille logo Marseille
W
Le Havre (58%)
L
Nantes (56%)
D
Nice (55%)
L
Lorient (69%)
W
Metz (43%)
L
Monaco (77%)
L
Lille (73%)
W
Auxerre (66%)
Lille logo Lille
W
Monaco (77%)
D
Le Havre (53%)
W
Paris FC (77%)
D
Nice (55%)
W
Toulouse (62%)
W
Lens (71%)
W
Marseille (66%)
L
Aston Villa (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Le Havre A
1 - 0 W
58%
Nantes A
0 - 3 L
56%
Nice H
1 - 1 D
55%
Lorient A
0 - 2 L
69%
Metz H
3 - 1 W
43%
Monaco A
1 - 2 L
77%
Lille H
1 - 2 L
73%
Auxerre H
1 - 0 W
66%
Toulouse A
1 - 0 W
62%
Toulouse H
2 - 2 D
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Monaco A
1 - 0 W
77%
Le Havre H
1 - 1 D
53%
Paris FC A
1 - 0 W
77%
Nice H
0 - 0 D
55%
Toulouse A
4 - 0 W
62%
Lens H
3 - 0 W
71%
Marseille A
2 - 1 W
66%
Aston Villa A
0 - 2 L
75%
Rennes A
2 - 1 W
80%
Aston Villa H
0 - 1 L
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Lille has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 75.1) compared to Marseille (SoS: 53.7). This means Lille's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Marseille averaging 1.1 and Lille averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Lille has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to Marseille's 1.3.

Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 6 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Lille is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Lille emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (72.8 vs 45.3) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-03-22), Lille beat Marseille 1-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Lille achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Marseille shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Marseille will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Lille will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Marseille

Marseille

VS
Lille

Lille

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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