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Compare Marseille vs Lorient

Marseille vs Lorient Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Marseille vs Lorient: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Marseille Marseille Home Team
Lorient Lorient Away Team
Marseille
45.3
W L D L W L L W W D

Last 10 Matches

Lorient
51.4
W D L W L D L W D D

Categories Won

3

Marseille

4

Draw

8

Lorient

Performance Radar

Marseille
Lorient

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

30%

3W, 4D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

+3

+3

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Greenwood (3 goals)
B. Dieng (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.7

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 59.9

60.2

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 64.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.17

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.07

1.78

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.38

Adjusted Power Rating
45.3

Attack: 38.0, Defense: 58.8, Form: 41.5

51.4

Attack: 51.4, Defense: 69.8, Form: 33.1

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

4
1

31-45'

3

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

5
Marseille
Lorient
Marseille

Power Rating Breakdown

45.3

Overall

Attack 38.0
Defense 58.8
Form 41.5
Consistency 44.8
Lorient

Power Rating Breakdown

51.4

Overall

Attack 51.4
Defense 69.8
Form 33.1
Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 81.9

Opponent Quality

59.9 vs 64.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 20%
Marseille logo Marseille
W
Le Havre (58%)
L
Nantes (56%)
D
Nice (55%)
L
Lorient (69%)
W
Metz (43%)
L
Monaco (77%)
L
Lille (73%)
W
Auxerre (66%)
Lorient logo Lorient
W
Metz (48%)
D
Paris SG (84%)
L
Strasbourg (55%)
W
Marseille (61%)
L
Lyon (70%)
D
Paris FC (72%)
L
Toulouse (62%)
W
Lens (71%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Le Havre A
1 - 0 W
58%
Nantes A
0 - 3 L
56%
Nice H
1 - 1 D
55%
Lorient A
0 - 2 L
69%
Metz H
3 - 1 W
43%
Monaco A
1 - 2 L
77%
Lille H
1 - 2 L
73%
Auxerre H
1 - 0 W
66%
Toulouse A
1 - 0 W
62%
Toulouse H
2 - 2 D
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Metz A
4 - 0 W
48%
Paris SG A
2 - 2 D
84%
Strasbourg H
2 - 3 L
55%
Marseille H
2 - 0 W
61%
Lyon A
0 - 2 L
70%
Paris FC H
1 - 1 D
72%
Toulouse A
0 - 1 L
62%
Lens H
2 - 1 W
71%
Lille A
1 - 1 D
78%
Nice H
0 - 0 D
39%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.7 vs 60.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Marseille averaging 1.1 and Lorient averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Marseille conceding 1.3 and Lorient conceding 1.1 per match.

Lorient has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Lorient has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.1 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-04-18), Lorient beat Marseille 2-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Lorient secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Marseille will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Lorient will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Marseille

Marseille

VS
Lorient

Lorient

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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