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Compare Marseille vs Metz

Marseille vs Metz Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Marseille vs Metz: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Marseille Marseille Home Team
Metz Metz Away Team
Marseille
45.3
W L D L W L L W W D

Last 10 Matches

Metz
30.1
L L D L L D D L L L

Categories Won

9

Marseille

3

Draw

3

Metz

Performance Radar

Marseille
Metz

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

0%

0W, 3D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-14

-14

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Greenwood (3 goals)
G. Kvilitaia (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.7

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 59.9

57.2

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 65.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.17

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.07

1.27

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
45.3

Attack: 38.0, Defense: 58.8, Form: 41.5

30.1

Attack: 35.7, Defense: 21.4, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

4
1

61-75'

3

76-90+'

2
Marseille
Metz
Marseille

Power Rating Breakdown

45.3

Overall

Attack 38.0
Defense 58.8
Form 41.5
Consistency 44.8
Metz

Power Rating Breakdown

30.1

Overall

Attack 35.7
Defense 21.4
Form 0.0
Consistency 93.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

59.9 vs 65.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Marseille logo Marseille
W
Le Havre (58%)
L
Nantes (56%)
D
Nice (55%)
L
Lorient (69%)
W
Metz (43%)
L
Monaco (77%)
L
Lille (73%)
W
Auxerre (66%)
Metz logo Metz
L
Lorient (64%)
L
Monaco (72%)
D
Le Havre (58%)
L
Paris FC (72%)
L
Marseille (66%)
D
Nantes (51%)
D
Rennes (80%)
L
Toulouse (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Le Havre A
1 - 0 W
58%
Nantes A
0 - 3 L
56%
Nice H
1 - 1 D
55%
Lorient A
0 - 2 L
69%
Metz H
3 - 1 W
43%
Monaco A
1 - 2 L
77%
Lille H
1 - 2 L
73%
Auxerre H
1 - 0 W
66%
Toulouse A
1 - 0 W
62%
Toulouse H
2 - 2 D
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lorient H
0 - 4 L
64%
Monaco H
1 - 2 L
72%
Le Havre A
4 - 4 D
58%
Paris FC H
1 - 3 L
72%
Marseille A
1 - 3 L
66%
Nantes H
0 - 0 D
51%
Rennes A
0 - 0 D
80%
Toulouse H
3 - 4 L
57%
Lens A
0 - 3 L
76%
Brest H
0 - 1 L
56%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.7 vs 57.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Marseille averaging 1.1 and Metz averaging 1.0 goals per match.

Defensively, Marseille is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Metz leaks 2.4 per match.

Metz has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Marseille emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (45.3 vs 30.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-04-10), Marseille beat Metz 3-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Marseille secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Metz will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Marseille will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Marseille

Marseille

VS
Metz

Metz

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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