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Compare Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille vs Nantes Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Marseille vs Nantes: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Marseille Marseille Home Team
Nantes Nantes Away Team
Marseille
45.3
W L D L W L L W W D

Last 10 Matches

Nantes
38.1
L W L L D D D L L L

Categories Won

10

Marseille

3

Draw

2

Nantes

Performance Radar

Marseille
Nantes

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-5

-5

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Greenwood (3 goals)
M. Abline (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.7

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 59.9

57.4

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 65.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.17

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.07

0.95

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.25

Adjusted Power Rating
45.3

Attack: 38.0, Defense: 58.8, Form: 41.5

38.1

Attack: 25.1, Defense: 64.4, Form: 10.7

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

4
1

61-75'

3

76-90+'

Marseille
Nantes
Marseille

Power Rating Breakdown

45.3

Overall

Attack 38.0
Defense 58.8
Form 41.5
Consistency 44.8
Nantes

Power Rating Breakdown

38.1

Overall

Attack 25.1
Defense 64.4
Form 10.7
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

59.9 vs 65.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Marseille logo Marseille
W
Le Havre (58%)
L
Nantes (56%)
D
Nice (55%)
L
Lorient (69%)
W
Metz (43%)
L
Monaco (77%)
L
Lille (73%)
W
Auxerre (66%)
Nantes logo Nantes
L
Lens (76%)
W
Marseille (61%)
L
Rennes (80%)
L
Paris SG (84%)
D
Brest (56%)
D
Auxerre (71%)
D
Metz (48%)
L
Strasbourg (55%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Le Havre A
1 - 0 W
58%
Nantes A
0 - 3 L
56%
Nice H
1 - 1 D
55%
Lorient A
0 - 2 L
69%
Metz H
3 - 1 W
43%
Monaco A
1 - 2 L
77%
Lille H
1 - 2 L
73%
Auxerre H
1 - 0 W
66%
Toulouse A
1 - 0 W
62%
Toulouse H
2 - 2 D
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lens A
0 - 1 L
76%
Marseille H
3 - 0 W
61%
Rennes A
1 - 2 L
80%
Paris SG A
0 - 3 L
84%
Brest H
1 - 1 D
56%
Auxerre A
0 - 0 D
71%
Metz A
0 - 0 D
48%
Strasbourg H
2 - 3 L
55%
Angers H
0 - 1 L
47%
Lille A
0 - 1 L
78%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.7 vs 57.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Marseille holds the attacking edge with 1.1 goals per match versus Nantes's 0.7, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Marseille conceding 1.3 and Nantes conceding 1.2 per match.

Nantes has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Marseille has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.2 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-05-02), Nantes beat Marseille 3-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Nantes secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Nantes completely dominated Marseille in that encounter, raising serious questions about Marseille's ability to compete at this level. Marseille will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nantes will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Marseille

Marseille

VS
Nantes

Nantes

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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