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Compare Marseille vs Toulouse

Marseille vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Marseille vs Toulouse: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Marseille Marseille Home Team
Toulouse Toulouse Away Team
Marseille
45.3
W L D L W L L W W D

Last 10 Matches

Toulouse
41.6
W W D L L L L W W L

Categories Won

4

Marseille

6

Draw

5

Toulouse

Performance Radar

Marseille
Toulouse

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Greenwood (3 goals)
Emersonn (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.7

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 59.9

56.0

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 66.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.17

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.07

1.94

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.44

Adjusted Power Rating
45.3

Attack: 38.0, Defense: 58.8, Form: 41.5

41.6

Attack: 53.0, Defense: 28.3, Form: 42.4

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

5
1

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

5
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille

Power Rating Breakdown

45.3

Overall

Attack 38.0
Defense 58.8
Form 41.5
Consistency 44.8
Toulouse

Power Rating Breakdown

41.6

Overall

Attack 53.0
Defense 28.3
Form 42.4
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 81.9

Opponent Quality

59.9 vs 66.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Marseille logo Marseille
W
Le Havre (58%)
L
Nantes (56%)
D
Nice (55%)
L
Lorient (69%)
W
Metz (43%)
L
Monaco (77%)
L
Lille (73%)
W
Auxerre (66%)
Toulouse logo Toulouse
W
Lyon (65%)
W
Strasbourg (60%)
D
Monaco (72%)
L
Lens (60%)
L
Lens (76%)
L
Lille (73%)
L
Paris SG (84%)
W
Lorient (64%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Le Havre A
1 - 0 W
58%
Nantes A
0 - 3 L
56%
Nice H
1 - 1 D
55%
Lorient A
0 - 2 L
69%
Metz H
3 - 1 W
43%
Monaco A
1 - 2 L
77%
Lille H
1 - 2 L
73%
Auxerre H
1 - 0 W
66%
Toulouse A
1 - 0 W
62%
Toulouse H
2 - 2 D
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lyon H
2 - 1 W
65%
Strasbourg A
2 - 1 W
60%
Monaco H
2 - 2 D
72%
Lens A
1 - 4 L
60%
Lens A
2 - 3 L
76%
Lille H
0 - 4 L
73%
Paris SG A
1 - 3 L
84%
Lorient H
1 - 0 W
64%
Metz A
4 - 3 W
48%
Marseille H
0 - 1 L
61%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.7 vs 56.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Toulouse holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Marseille's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Marseille is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Toulouse leaks 2.2 per match.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In the French Ligue 1 (2026-03-07), Marseille beat Toulouse 0-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Marseille achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Toulouse shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Toulouse will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Marseille will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Coupe de France match (2026-03-04), Toulouse prevailed 2-2 against Marseille. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Toulouse achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Marseille shows genuine quality and mental strength. Marseille will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Toulouse will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Marseille

Marseille

VS
Toulouse

Toulouse

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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