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Compare Marseille vs Villarreal

Marseille vs Villarreal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Marseille vs Villarreal: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Marseille Marseille Home Team
Villarreal Villarreal Away Team
Marseille
45.3
W L D L W L L W W D

Last 10 Matches

Villarreal
64.0
D W W D W L W D W L

Categories Won

2

Marseille

2

Draw

11

Villarreal

Performance Radar

Marseille
Villarreal

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Greenwood (3 goals)
N. Pépé (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

100%

4W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.7

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 59.9

68.8

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.17

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.07

2.18

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.38

Adjusted Power Rating
45.3

Attack: 38.0, Defense: 58.8, Form: 41.5

64.0

Attack: 71.3, Defense: 67.3, Form: 59.4

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

3
Marseille
Villarreal
Marseille

Power Rating Breakdown

45.3

Overall

Attack 38.0
Defense 58.8
Form 41.5
Consistency 44.8
Villarreal

Power Rating Breakdown

64.0

Overall

Attack 71.3
Defense 67.3
Form 59.4
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 93.0

Opponent Quality

59.9 vs 66.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Marseille logo Marseille
W
Le Havre (58%)
L
Nantes (56%)
D
Nice (55%)
L
Lorient (69%)
W
Metz (43%)
L
Monaco (77%)
L
Lille (73%)
W
Auxerre (66%)
Villarreal logo Villarreal
D
Mallorca (73%)
W
Levante (71%)
W
Celta Vigo (54%)
D
Oviedo (66%)
W
Athletic (60%)
L
Girona (64%)
W
Real Sociedad (61%)
D
Alavés (65%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Le Havre A
1 - 0 W
58%
Nantes A
0 - 3 L
56%
Nice H
1 - 1 D
55%
Lorient A
0 - 2 L
69%
Metz H
3 - 1 W
43%
Monaco A
1 - 2 L
77%
Lille H
1 - 2 L
73%
Auxerre H
1 - 0 W
66%
Toulouse A
1 - 0 W
62%
Toulouse H
2 - 2 D
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Mallorca A
1 - 1 D
73%
Levante H
5 - 1 W
71%
Celta Vigo H
2 - 1 W
54%
Oviedo A
1 - 1 D
66%
Athletic A
2 - 1 W
60%
Girona A
0 - 1 L
64%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 1 W
61%
Alavés A
1 - 1 D
65%
Elche H
2 - 1 W
61%
Barcelona A
1 - 4 L
91%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Villarreal has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.8) compared to Marseille (SoS: 53.7). This means Villarreal's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Villarreal holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Marseille's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Marseille conceding 1.3 and Villarreal conceding 1.3 per match.

Villarreal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Villarreal, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Villarreal emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (64.0 vs 45.3) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Marseille

Marseille

VS
Villarreal

Villarreal

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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