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Compare Metz vs Brest

Metz vs Brest Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Metz vs Brest: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Metz Metz Home Team
Brest Brest Away Team
Metz
30.1
L L D L L D D L L L

Last 10 Matches

Brest
40.9
L L D D L L L W W W

Categories Won

2

Metz

2

Draw

11

Brest

Performance Radar

Metz
Brest

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
0%

0W, 3D, 7L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-14

-14

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
G. Kvilitaia (2 goals)
L. Ajorque (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 6 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.2

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 65.2

58.0

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 67.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.27

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.27

1.49

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.29

Adjusted Power Rating
30.1

Attack: 35.7, Defense: 21.4, Form: 0.0

40.9

Attack: 43.2, Defense: 43.2, Form: 32.4

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3
1

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

2

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

1
Metz
Brest
Metz

Power Rating Breakdown

30.1

Overall

Attack 35.7
Defense 21.4
Form 0.0
Consistency 93.7
Brest

Power Rating Breakdown

40.9

Overall

Attack 43.2
Defense 43.2
Form 32.4
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 67.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Metz logo Metz
L
Lorient (64%)
L
Monaco (72%)
D
Le Havre (58%)
L
Paris FC (72%)
L
Marseille (66%)
D
Nantes (51%)
D
Rennes (80%)
L
Toulouse (57%)
Brest logo Brest
L
Paris SG (84%)
L
Paris FC (77%)
D
Lens (71%)
D
Nantes (56%)
L
Rennes (75%)
L
Auxerre (71%)
L
Monaco (77%)
W
Le Havre (53%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lorient H
0 - 4 L
64%
Monaco H
1 - 2 L
72%
Le Havre A
4 - 4 D
58%
Paris FC H
1 - 3 L
72%
Marseille A
1 - 3 L
66%
Nantes H
0 - 0 D
51%
Rennes A
0 - 0 D
80%
Toulouse H
3 - 4 L
57%
Lens A
0 - 3 L
76%
Brest H
0 - 1 L
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Paris SG A
0 - 1 L
84%
Paris FC A
0 - 4 L
77%
Lens H
3 - 3 D
71%
Nantes A
1 - 1 D
56%
Rennes H
3 - 4 L
75%
Auxerre A
0 - 3 L
71%
Monaco A
0 - 2 L
77%
Le Havre H
2 - 0 W
53%
Metz A
1 - 0 W
48%
Marseille H
2 - 0 W
61%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.2 vs 58.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Metz averaging 1.0 and Brest averaging 1.2 goals per match.

Brest has the defensive edge, conceding 1.8 per match compared to Metz's 2.4.

Metz has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Brest has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Brest has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-03-01), Brest beat Metz 0-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Brest achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Metz shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Metz will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Brest will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Metz

Metz

VS
Brest

Brest

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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