Compare Metz vs Paris FC

Metz vs Paris FC Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Metz vs Paris FC: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Metz Home Team

Paris FC Away Team

Metz

30.1

L L D L L D D L L L

Last 10 Matches

Paris FC

65.0

L W L W W D W D D W

Categories Won

Metz

Draw

Paris FC

Performance Radar

Metz

Paris FC

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

0W, 3D, 7L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

2.4

24 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-14

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

G. Kvilitaia (2 goals)

M. Munetsi (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5

1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

0W / 6 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

0W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

57.2

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 65.2

62.9

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 63.6

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 4 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.27

2.35

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.55

Adjusted Power Rating

30.1

Attack: 35.7, Defense: 21.4, Form: 0.0

65.0

Attack: 67.7, Defense: 79.0, Form: 56.5

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Metz

Paris FC

Power Rating Breakdown

30.1

Overall

Attack 35.7

Defense 21.4

Form 0.0

Consistency 93.7

Power Rating Breakdown

65.0

Overall

Attack 67.7

Defense 79.0

Form 56.5

Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 63.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%

Metz

Paris FC

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Lorient H

French Ligue 1

0 - 4 L

64%

Monaco H

French Ligue 1

1 - 2 L

72%

Le Havre A

French Ligue 1

4 - 4 D

58%

Paris FC H

French Ligue 1

1 - 3 L

72%

Marseille A

French Ligue 1

1 - 3 L

66%

Nantes H

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

51%

Rennes A

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

80%

Toulouse H

French Ligue 1

3 - 4 L

57%

Lens A

French Ligue 1

0 - 3 L

76%

Brest H

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

56%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Rennes A

French Ligue 1

1 - 2 L

80%

Brest H

French Ligue 1

4 - 0 W

56%

Lille H

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

73%

Metz A

French Ligue 1

3 - 1 W

48%

Monaco H

French Ligue 1

4 - 1 W

72%

Lorient A

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

69%

Le Havre H

French Ligue 1

3 - 2 W

53%

Strasbourg A

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

60%

Lyon A

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

70%

Nice H

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

55%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.2 vs 62.9), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Paris FC holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Metz's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Paris FC is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Metz leaks 2.4 per match.

Metz has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Paris FC has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Paris FC, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Paris FC is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (67.7), defense (79.0), and form (56.5) leaves little room for doubt. Metz will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-04-19), Paris FC beat Metz 1-3. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Paris FC achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Metz shows genuine quality and mental strength. Metz will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Paris FC will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Metz

Paris FC

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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