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Compare Metz vs Leipzig

Metz vs Leipzig Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Metz vs Leipzig: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Metz Metz Home Team
Leipzig Leipzig Away Team
Metz
30.1
L L D L L D D L L L

Last 10 Matches

Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Categories Won

0

Metz

3

Draw

12

Leipzig

Performance Radar

Metz
Leipzig

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
0%

0W, 3D, 7L

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-14

-14

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
G. Kvilitaia (2 goals)
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 6 matches

100%

5W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.2

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 65.2

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.27

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.27

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

Adjusted Power Rating
30.1

Attack: 35.7, Defense: 21.4, Form: 0.0

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

6
2

31-45'

3
4

46-60'

3

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

6
Metz
Leipzig
Metz

Power Rating Breakdown

30.1

Overall

Attack 35.7
Defense 21.4
Form 0.0
Consistency 93.7
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 63.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Metz logo Metz
L
Lorient (64%)
L
Monaco (72%)
D
Le Havre (58%)
L
Paris FC (72%)
L
Marseille (66%)
D
Nantes (51%)
D
Rennes (80%)
L
Toulouse (57%)
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lorient H
0 - 4 L
64%
Monaco H
1 - 2 L
72%
Le Havre A
4 - 4 D
58%
Paris FC H
1 - 3 L
72%
Marseille A
1 - 3 L
66%
Nantes H
0 - 0 D
51%
Rennes A
0 - 0 D
80%
Toulouse H
3 - 4 L
57%
Lens A
0 - 3 L
76%
Brest H
0 - 1 L
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.2 vs 58.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Leipzig's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with Y. Diomande leading the charge with 4 goals. Metz manages just 1.0 per match.

Defensively, Leipzig is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Metz leaks 2.4 per match.

Metz has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Leipzig is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (76.1), defense (68.8), and form (87.0) leaves little room for doubt. Metz will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Metz

Metz

VS
Leipzig

Leipzig

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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