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Compare Metz vs Varaždin

Metz vs Varaždin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Metz vs Varaždin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Metz Metz Home Team
Varaždin Varaždin Away Team
Metz
30.1
L L D L L D D L L L

Last 10 Matches

Varaždin
42.1
D L L W W W D L W D

Categories Won

3

Metz

2

Draw

10

Varaždin

Performance Radar

Metz
Varaždin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
0%

0W, 3D, 7L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-14

-14

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
G. Kvilitaia (2 goals)
A. Latković (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
57.2

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 65.2

34.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.27

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.27

1.06

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
30.1

Attack: 35.7, Defense: 21.4, Form: 0.0

42.1

Attack: 36.7, Defense: 53.6, Form: 33.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

2

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

1
Metz
Varaždin
Metz

Power Rating Breakdown

30.1

Overall

Attack 35.7
Defense 21.4
Form 0.0
Consistency 93.7
Varaždin

Power Rating Breakdown

42.1

Overall

Attack 36.7
Defense 53.6
Form 33.8
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

65.2 vs 47.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Metz logo Metz
L
Lorient (64%)
L
Monaco (72%)
D
Le Havre (58%)
L
Paris FC (72%)
L
Marseille (66%)
D
Nantes (51%)
D
Rennes (80%)
L
Toulouse (57%)
Varaždin logo Varaždin
D
Lokomotiva (44%)
L
Hajduk (58%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (76%)
W
Rijeka (44%)
W
Osijek (46%)
W
Slaven (35%)
D
Gorica (44%)
L
Istra (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lorient H
0 - 4 L
64%
Monaco H
1 - 2 L
72%
Le Havre A
4 - 4 D
58%
Paris FC H
1 - 3 L
72%
Marseille A
1 - 3 L
66%
Nantes H
0 - 0 D
51%
Rennes A
0 - 0 D
80%
Toulouse H
3 - 4 L
57%
Lens A
0 - 3 L
76%
Brest H
0 - 1 L
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lokomotiva H
1 - 1 D
44%
Hajduk A
1 - 3 L
58%
Dinamo Zagreb A
1 - 2 L
76%
Rijeka H
1 - 0 W
44%
Osijek A
2 - 0 W
46%
Slaven H
2 - 1 W
35%
Gorica H
1 - 1 D
44%
Istra A
1 - 2 L
46%
Vukovar H
2 - 0 W
32%
Lokomotiva A
1 - 1 D
49%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Metz has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 57.2) compared to Varaždin (SoS: 34.6). This means Metz's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Varaždin holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Metz's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Varaždin is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Metz leaks 2.4 per match.

Metz has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Varaždin has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.0 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Metz

Metz

VS
Varaždin

Varaždin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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