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Compare Moreirense vs AEK Athens

Moreirense vs AEK Athens Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Moreirense vs AEK Athens: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Moreirense Moreirense Home Team
AEK Athens AEK Athens Away Team
Moreirense
35.6
L W L W D L L L D D

Last 10 Matches

AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Categories Won

1

Moreirense

2

Draw

12

AEK Athens

Performance Radar

Moreirense
AEK Athens

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-8

-8

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Alan (3 goals)
Zine (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.8

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 60.7

59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.98

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.18

1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
35.6

Attack: 27.4, Defense: 48.0, Form: 20.6

66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

2

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

4
1

76-90+'

2
Moreirense
AEK Athens
Moreirense

Power Rating Breakdown

35.6

Overall

Attack 27.4
Defense 48.0
Form 20.6
Consistency 61.3
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 64.8

Opponent Quality

60.7 vs 61.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
Moreirense logo Moreirense
L
Tondela (57%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estoril (47%)
D
Famalicão (74%)
L
Braga (64%)
L
Arouca (57%)
L
Porto (74%)
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Tondela A
0 - 2 L
57%
Estrela H
3 - 2 W
49%
Benfica A
1 - 4 L
80%
Estoril H
1 - 0 W
47%
Famalicão A
1 - 1 D
74%
Braga H
0 - 1 L
64%
Arouca H
0 - 1 L
57%
Porto A
0 - 3 L
74%
Nacional H
1 - 1 D
52%
Casa Pia A
1 - 1 D
53%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.8 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

AEK Athens's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with Zine leading the charge with 3 goals. Moreirense manages just 0.8 per match.

AEK Athens has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to Moreirense's 1.6.

Moreirense has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, AEK Athens is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (65.9), defense (76.9), and form (65.9) leaves little room for doubt. Moreirense will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Moreirense

Moreirense

VS
AEK Athens

AEK Athens

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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