Skip to content
Compare Moreirense vs Estrela

Moreirense vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Moreirense vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Moreirense Moreirense Home Team
Estrela Estrela Away Team
Moreirense
35.6
L W L W D L L L D D

Last 10 Matches

Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

3

Moreirense

4

Draw

8

Estrela

Performance Radar

Moreirense
Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-8

-8

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Alan (3 goals)
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 3
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.8

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 60.7

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.98

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.18

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating
35.6

Attack: 27.4, Defense: 48.0, Form: 20.6

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
1

76-90+'

2
Moreirense
Estrela
Moreirense

Power Rating Breakdown

35.6

Overall

Attack 27.4
Defense 48.0
Form 20.6
Consistency 61.3
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

60.7 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Moreirense logo Moreirense
L
Tondela (57%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estoril (47%)
D
Famalicão (74%)
L
Braga (64%)
L
Arouca (57%)
L
Porto (74%)
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Tondela A
0 - 2 L
57%
Estrela H
3 - 2 W
49%
Benfica A
1 - 4 L
80%
Estoril H
1 - 0 W
47%
Famalicão A
1 - 1 D
74%
Braga H
0 - 1 L
64%
Arouca H
0 - 1 L
57%
Porto A
0 - 3 L
74%
Nacional H
1 - 1 D
52%
Casa Pia A
1 - 1 D
53%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.8 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Moreirense averaging 0.8 and Estrela averaging 1.0 goals per match.

Estrela has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Moreirense's 1.6.

Moreirense has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

In their recent Portuguese Primeira Liga match (2026-05-02), Moreirense prevailed 3-2 against Estrela. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Moreirense secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 3-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Estrela will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Moreirense will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Moreirense

Moreirense

VS
Estrela

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Popular Teams

We use cookies & local storage to enhance your experience. Learn more