Compare Nacional vs Auxerre

Nacional vs Auxerre Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Nacional vs Auxerre: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Nacional Home Team

Auxerre Away Team

Nacional

40.8

L L W W L W L L D L

Last 10 Matches

Auxerre

51.4

W W L D D D W L D D

Categories Won

Nacional

Draw

Auxerre

Performance Radar

Nacional

Auxerre

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

30%

3W, 5D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

20%

2 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

J. Ramírez (3 goals)

L. Sinayoko (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

55.5

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 60.4

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 3 matches

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

1.98

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.48

Adjusted Power Rating

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

51.4

Attack: 52.8, Defense: 66.8, Form: 31.7

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Nacional

Auxerre

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5

Defense 65.3

Form 30.9

Consistency 46.0

Power Rating Breakdown

51.4

Overall

Attack 52.8

Defense 66.8

Form 31.7

Consistency 62.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 60.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Nacional

Auxerre

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

71%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

59%

Tondela A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

57%

Alverca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

59%

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

80%

Estrela H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

49%

Famalicão A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

47%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

55%

Braga H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

64%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Nice H

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

55%

Angers H

French Ligue 1

3 - 1 W

47%

Lyon A

French Ligue 1

2 - 3 L

70%

Monaco A

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

77%

Nantes H

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

51%

Le Havre A

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

58%

Brest H

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

56%

Marseille A

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

66%

Strasbourg H

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

55%

Lorient A

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

69%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.1 vs 55.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Auxerre holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Nacional conceding 1.1 and Auxerre conceding 1.1 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Auxerre has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.6 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Nacional

Auxerre

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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