Compare Nacional vs Union Berlin

Nacional vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Nacional vs Union Berlin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Nacional Home Team

Union Berlin Away Team

Nacional

40.8

L L W W L W L L D L

Last 10 Matches

Union Berlin

38.8

W D L L L D L W L L

Categories Won

Nacional

Draw

Union Berlin

Performance Radar

Nacional

Union Berlin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

20%

2W, 2D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

11 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

-10

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

20%

2 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

J. Ramírez (3 goals)

O. Burke (2 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

0W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

72.2

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

1.55

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.45

Adjusted Power Rating

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

38.8

Attack: 44.8, Defense: 36.7, Form: 24.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Nacional

Union Berlin

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5

Defense 65.3

Form 30.9

Consistency 46.0

Power Rating Breakdown

38.8

Overall

Attack 44.8

Defense 36.7

Form 24.4

Consistency 59.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 66.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%

Nacional

Union Berlin

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

71%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

59%

Tondela A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

57%

Alverca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

59%

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

80%

Estrela H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

49%

Famalicão A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

47%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

55%

Braga H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

64%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Mainz 05 A

German Bundesliga

3 - 1 W

70%

Köln H

German Bundesliga

2 - 2 D

57%

Leipzig A

German Bundesliga

1 - 3 L

84%

Wolfsburg H

German Bundesliga

1 - 2 L

50%

Heidenheim A

German Bundesliga

1 - 3 L

67%

St. Pauli H

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

50%

Bayern Munich A

German Bundesliga

0 - 4 L

86%

Freiburg A

German Bundesliga

1 - 0 W

72%

Bremen H

German Bundesliga

1 - 4 L

62%

M'gladbach A

German Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

68%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Union Berlin has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 72.2) compared to Nacional (SoS: 53.1). This means Union Berlin's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Union Berlin holds the attacking edge with 1.1 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Nacional is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Union Berlin leaks 2.1 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Union Berlin has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Nacional

Union Berlin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair