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Compare Nacional vs Varaždin

Nacional vs Varaždin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Nacional vs Varaždin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Nacional Nacional Home Team
Varaždin Varaždin Away Team
Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Last 10 Matches

Varaždin
42.1
D L L W W W D L W D

Categories Won

1

Nacional

5

Draw

9

Varaždin

Performance Radar

Nacional
Varaždin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 1D, 6L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
A. Latković (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

34.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

1.06

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

42.1

Attack: 36.7, Defense: 53.6, Form: 33.8

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

2

76-90+'

1
Nacional
Varaždin
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0
Varaždin

Power Rating Breakdown

42.1

Overall

Attack 36.7
Defense 53.6
Form 33.8
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 47.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)
Varaždin logo Varaždin
D
Lokomotiva (44%)
L
Hajduk (58%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (76%)
W
Rijeka (44%)
W
Osijek (46%)
W
Slaven (35%)
D
Gorica (44%)
L
Istra (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lokomotiva H
1 - 1 D
44%
Hajduk A
1 - 3 L
58%
Dinamo Zagreb A
1 - 2 L
76%
Rijeka H
1 - 0 W
44%
Osijek A
2 - 0 W
46%
Slaven H
2 - 1 W
35%
Gorica H
1 - 1 D
44%
Istra A
1 - 2 L
46%
Vukovar H
2 - 0 W
32%
Lokomotiva A
1 - 1 D
49%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Nacional has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 53.1) compared to Varaždin (SoS: 34.6). This means Nacional's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Varaždin holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Nacional conceding 1.1 and Varaždin conceding 1.1 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Nacional

Nacional

VS
Varaždin

Varaždin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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