Compare Nacional vs Winterthur

Nacional vs Winterthur Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Nacional vs Winterthur: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Nacional Home Team

Winterthur Away Team

Nacional

40.8

L L W W L W L L D L

Last 10 Matches

Winterthur

33.7

L W D L L L L W D D

Categories Won

Nacional

Draw

Winterthur

Performance Radar

Nacional

Winterthur

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match

0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

11 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

-6

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

20%

2 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

J. Ramírez (3 goals)

N. Burkart (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

36.6

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 48.5

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 3 matches

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

1.46

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

33.7

Attack: 40.4, Defense: 28.9, Form: 17.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Nacional

Winterthur

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5

Defense 65.3

Form 30.9

Consistency 46.0

Power Rating Breakdown

33.7

Overall

Attack 40.4

Defense 28.9

Form 17.3

Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 49.0

Opponent Quality

61.5 vs 48.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Nacional

Winterthur

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

71%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

59%

Tondela A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

57%

Alverca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

59%

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

80%

Estrela H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

49%

Famalicão A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

47%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

55%

Braga H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

64%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

GC Zürich A

Swiss Super League

2 - 3 L

36%

Lausanne H

Swiss Super League

2 - 1 W

42%

Zürich H

Swiss Super League

2 - 2 D

37%

Servette A

Swiss Super League

3 - 5 L

70%

GC Zürich H

Brack Super League

0 - 2 L

27%

Lausanne A

Brack Super League

1 - 2 L

43%

Basel H

Brack Super League

0 - 2 L

46%

Luzern A

Brack Super League

2 - 1 W

57%

Sion A

Brack Super League

1 - 1 D

66%

Servette H

Brack Super League

1 - 1 D

61%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Nacional has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 53.1) compared to Winterthur (SoS: 36.6). This means Nacional's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Winterthur holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Nacional is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Winterthur leaks 2.0 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Nacional has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.1 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Nacional

Winterthur

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair