Compare Nantes vs Estrela

Nantes vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Nantes vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Nantes Home Team

Estrela Away Team

Nantes

38.1

L W L L D D D L L L

Last 10 Matches

Estrela

39.2

D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

Nantes

Draw

Estrela

Performance Radar

Nantes

Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-5

-3

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

M. Abline (2 goals)

Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 4

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5

Home Win Rate

25%

1W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

0W / 6 matches

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

57.4

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 65.6

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 5 matches

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.25

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating

38.1

Attack: 25.1, Defense: 64.4, Form: 10.7

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Nantes

Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

38.1

Overall

Attack 25.1

Defense 64.4

Form 10.7

Consistency 74.8

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4

Defense 58.4

Form 10.3

Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

86.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

65.6 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Nantes

Estrela

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Lens A

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

76%

Marseille H

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

61%

Rennes A

French Ligue 1

1 - 2 L

80%

Paris SG A

French Ligue 1

0 - 3 L

84%

Brest H

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

56%

Auxerre A

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

71%

Metz A

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

48%

Strasbourg H

French Ligue 1

2 - 3 L

55%

Angers H

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

47%

Lille A

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

78%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Famalicão H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

69%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 3 L

55%

Porto H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

69%

Arouca A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

62%

Sporting H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

70%

Nacional A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

57%

Casa Pia H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

4 - 0 W

48%

Rio Ave A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

66%

Gil Vicente H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

55%

AVS A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 0 D

64%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 57.4 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Estrela holds the attacking edge with 1.0 goals per match versus Nantes's 0.7, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Nantes conceding 1.2 and Estrela conceding 1.3 per match.

Nantes has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.1 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Nantes

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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