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Compare Napredak vs AEK Athens

Napredak vs AEK Athens Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Napredak vs AEK Athens: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Napredak Napredak Home Team
AEK Athens AEK Athens Away Team
Napredak
25.8
W L L L L L L L D L

Last 10 Matches

AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Categories Won

1

Napredak

2

Draw

12

AEK Athens

Performance Radar

Napredak
AEK Athens

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 1D, 8L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-16

-16

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N. Bogdanovski (2 goals)
Zine (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
41.4

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 55.5

59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.82

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.02

1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
25.8

Attack: 24.4, Defense: 18.3, Form: 9.1

66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

4
3

76-90+'

2
Napredak
AEK Athens
Napredak

Power Rating Breakdown

25.8

Overall

Attack 24.4
Defense 18.3
Form 9.1
Consistency 74.8
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 64.8

Opponent Quality

55.5 vs 61.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
Napredak logo Napredak
W
Spartak (33%)
L
Radnički Niš (44%)
L
Javor (56%)
L
FK IMT (58%)
L
TSC (60%)
L
Mladost Lučani (53%)
L
TSC (56%)
L
Vojvodina (68%)
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Spartak A
3 - 0 W
33%
Radnički Niš H
0 - 1 L
44%
Javor A
0 - 4 L
56%
FK IMT H
0 - 1 L
58%
TSC A
1 - 4 L
60%
Mladost Lučani A
0 - 2 L
53%
TSC H
1 - 2 L
56%
Vojvodina A
1 - 4 L
68%
OFK H
2 - 2 D
53%
Red Star A
0 - 4 L
74%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

AEK Athens has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.8) compared to Napredak (SoS: 41.4). This means AEK Athens's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

AEK Athens's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with Zine leading the charge with 3 goals. Napredak manages just 0.8 per match.

Defensively, AEK Athens is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Napredak leaks 2.4 per match.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, AEK Athens is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (65.9), defense (76.9), and form (65.9) leaves little room for doubt. Napredak will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Napredak

Napredak

VS
AEK Athens

AEK Athens

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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