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Compare Napredak vs Nacional

Napredak vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Napredak vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Napredak Napredak Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Napredak
25.8
W L L L L L L L D L

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

2

Napredak

3

Draw

10

Nacional

Performance Radar

Napredak
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 1D, 8L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-16

-16

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
N. Bogdanovski (2 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
41.4

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 55.5

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.82

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.02

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
25.8

Attack: 24.4, Defense: 18.3, Form: 9.1

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

Napredak
Nacional
Napredak

Power Rating Breakdown

25.8

Overall

Attack 24.4
Defense 18.3
Form 9.1
Consistency 74.8
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

55.5 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Napredak logo Napredak
W
Spartak (33%)
L
Radnički Niš (44%)
L
Javor (56%)
L
FK IMT (58%)
L
TSC (60%)
L
Mladost Lučani (53%)
L
TSC (56%)
L
Vojvodina (68%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Spartak A
3 - 0 W
33%
Radnički Niš H
0 - 1 L
44%
Javor A
0 - 4 L
56%
FK IMT H
0 - 1 L
58%
TSC A
1 - 4 L
60%
Mladost Lučani A
0 - 2 L
53%
TSC H
1 - 2 L
56%
Vojvodina A
1 - 4 L
68%
OFK H
2 - 2 D
53%
Red Star A
0 - 4 L
74%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Nacional has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 53.1) compared to Napredak (SoS: 41.4). This means Nacional's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Napredak averaging 0.8 and Nacional averaging 0.8 goals per match.

Defensively, Nacional is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Napredak leaks 2.4 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Nacional has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 15.0 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Napredak

Napredak

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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