Napredak vs Red Star Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 41.4 vs 51.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Red Star's attack is on another level, averaging 2.5 goals per match with A. Katai leading the charge with 7 goals. Napredak manages just 0.8 per match.

Defensively, Red Star is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Napredak leaks 2.4 per match.

Red Star has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Red Star, who boasts a 83% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Red Star is a strong road team with a 75% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Red Star is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (84.3), defense (67.5), and form (81.0) leaves little room for doubt. Napredak will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In the Serbian Super Liga (2026-03-08), Red Star beat Napredak 4-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Red Star secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Red Star completely dominated Napredak in that encounter, raising serious questions about Napredak's ability to compete at this level. Napredak will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Red Star will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.