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Compare NEC vs Aris

NEC vs Aris Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare NEC vs Aris: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

NEC NEC Home Team
Aris Aris Away Team
NEC
56.6
L D D D W D W W L D

Last 10 Matches

Aris
46.8
W W W D L D D L D D

Categories Won

10

NEC

2

Draw

3

Aris

Performance Radar

NEC
Aris

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 5D, 2L

30%

3W, 5D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
B. Linssen (5 goals)
B. Garré (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.5

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 65.7

51.4

League Difficulty: 56.0, Opponent Quality: 48.3

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.04

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.34

1.32

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
56.6

Attack: 66.6, Defense: 66.6, Form: 35.2

46.8

Attack: 40.6, Defense: 64.2, Form: 30.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

3
NEC
Aris
NEC

Power Rating Breakdown

56.6

Overall

Attack 66.6
Defense 66.6
Form 35.2
Consistency 62.8
Aris

Power Rating Breakdown

46.8

Overall

Attack 40.6
Defense 64.2
Form 30.4
Consistency 62.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 56.0

Opponent Quality

65.7 vs 48.3

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
NEC logo NEC
L
Groningen (66%)
D
Telstar (64%)
D
Twente (81%)
D
Feyenoord (67%)
W
Excelsior (60%)
D
Heerenveen (67%)
W
PSV (80%)
W
Volendam (49%)
Aris logo Aris
W
OFI (44%)
W
OFI (49%)
W
Volos (39%)
D
Levadiakos (49%)
L
OFI (44%)
D
Panserraikos (54%)
D
Atromitos (54%)
L
Panathinaikos (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Groningen A
1 - 2 L
66%
Telstar H
1 - 1 D
64%
Twente A
1 - 1 D
81%
Feyenoord H
1 - 1 D
67%
Excelsior A
2 - 0 W
60%
Heerenveen H
2 - 2 D
67%
PSV A
3 - 2 W
80%
Volendam H
3 - 0 W
49%
Fortuna H
2 - 3 L
56%
Ajax A
1 - 1 D
67%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
OFI H
3 - 1 W
44%
OFI A
2 - 0 W
49%
Volos H
3 - 2 W
39%
Levadiakos A
1 - 1 D
49%
OFI H
0 - 2 L
44%
Panserraikos A
0 - 0 D
54%
Atromitos H
0 - 0 D
54%
Panathinaikos A
1 - 3 L
57%
Kifisia H
1 - 1 D
49%
Volos A
1 - 1 D
44%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

NEC has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 67.5) compared to Aris (SoS: 51.4). This means NEC's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

NEC holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Aris's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with NEC conceding 1.3 and Aris conceding 1.1 per match.

Aris has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

NEC has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

NEC

NEC

VS
Aris

Aris

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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