Compare NEC vs Nacional

NEC vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare NEC vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

NEC Home Team

Nacional Away Team

NEC

56.6

L D D D W D W W L D

Last 10 Matches

Nacional

40.8

L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

NEC

Draw

Nacional

Performance Radar

NEC

Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 5D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

1.7

17 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

80%

8 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

B. Linssen (5 goals)

J. Ramírez (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

67.5

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 65.7

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.34

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating

56.6

Attack: 66.6, Defense: 66.6, Form: 35.2

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

NEC

Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

56.6

Overall

Attack 66.6

Defense 66.6

Form 35.2

Consistency 62.8

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5

Defense 65.3

Form 30.9

Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

65.7 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%

NEC

Nacional

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Groningen A

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 2 L

66%

Telstar H

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 1 D

64%

Twente A

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 1 D

81%

Feyenoord H

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 1 D

67%

Excelsior A

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 0 W

60%

Heerenveen H

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 2 D

67%

PSV A

Dutch Eredivisie

3 - 2 W

80%

Volendam H

Dutch Eredivisie

3 - 0 W

49%

Fortuna H

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 3 L

56%

Ajax A

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 1 D

67%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

71%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

59%

Tondela A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

57%

Alverca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

59%

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

80%

Estrela H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

49%

Famalicão A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

47%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

55%

Braga H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

NEC has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 67.5) compared to Nacional (SoS: 53.1). This means NEC's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

NEC holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with NEC conceding 1.3 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

NEC emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.6 vs 40.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

NEC

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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