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Compare OFK vs Nacional

OFK vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare OFK vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

OFK OFK Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
OFK
48.0
D L D D W D W D D D

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

8

OFK

4

Draw

3

Nacional

Performance Radar

OFK
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 7D, 1L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Y. Silué (4 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.2

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 50.4

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.33

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.07

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
48.0

Attack: 47.7, Defense: 64.7, Form: 20.4

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
6

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

OFK
Nacional
OFK

Power Rating Breakdown

48.0

Overall

Attack 47.7
Defense 64.7
Form 20.4
Consistency 75.7
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

55.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

50.4 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
OFK logo OFK
D
Partizan (57%)
L
Železničar P (62%)
D
Radnik (50%)
D
Čukarički (46%)
W
Novi Pazar (46%)
D
Radnik (50%)
W
Radnički Niš (49%)
D
FK IMT (58%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Partizan A
1 - 1 D
57%
Železničar P A
0 - 2 L
62%
Radnik H
1 - 1 D
50%
Čukarički H
0 - 0 D
46%
Novi Pazar A
5 - 1 W
46%
Radnik H
0 - 0 D
50%
Radnički Niš A
2 - 1 W
49%
FK IMT H
3 - 3 D
58%
Napredak A
2 - 2 D
34%
Radnički Krag H
0 - 0 D
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.2 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

OFK holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with OFK conceding 1.1 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

OFK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

OFK has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.2 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

OFK

OFK

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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