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Compare Lyon vs Toulouse

Lyon vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Lyon vs Toulouse: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Lyon Lyon Home Team
Toulouse Toulouse Away Team
Lyon
58.2
L W W W W D L L D D

Last 10 Matches

Toulouse
41.6
W W D L L L L W W L

Categories Won

9

Lyon

2

Draw

4

Toulouse

Performance Radar

Lyon
Toulouse

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Yaremchuk (4 goals)
Emersonn (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
73.4

League Difficulty: 85.8, Opponent Quality: 63.9

56.0

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 66.3

Elite Opponent Record
67%

2W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.99

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.59

1.94

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.44

Adjusted Power Rating
58.2

Attack: 57.6, Defense: 74.0, Form: 49.4

41.6

Attack: 53.0, Defense: 28.3, Form: 42.4

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

5
2

16-30'

2
3

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

1
1

76-90+'

5
Lyon
Toulouse
Lyon

Power Rating Breakdown

58.2

Overall

Attack 57.6
Defense 74.0
Form 49.4
Consistency 50.5
Toulouse

Power Rating Breakdown

41.6

Overall

Attack 53.0
Defense 28.3
Form 42.4
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

85.8 vs 81.9

Opponent Quality

63.9 vs 66.3

Elite Opponent Record

67% vs 0%
Lyon logo Lyon
L
Toulouse (62%)
W
Rennes (75%)
W
Auxerre (66%)
W
Paris SG (84%)
W
Lorient (64%)
D
Angers (52%)
L
Monaco (72%)
L
Celta Vigo (50%)
Toulouse logo Toulouse
W
Lyon (65%)
W
Strasbourg (60%)
D
Monaco (72%)
L
Lens (60%)
L
Lens (76%)
L
Lille (73%)
L
Paris SG (84%)
W
Lorient (64%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Toulouse A
1 - 2 L
62%
Rennes H
4 - 2 W
75%
Auxerre H
3 - 2 W
66%
Paris SG A
2 - 1 W
84%
Lorient H
2 - 0 W
64%
Angers A
0 - 0 D
52%
Monaco H
1 - 2 L
72%
Celta Vigo H
0 - 2 L
50%
Le Havre A
0 - 0 D
58%
Celta Vigo A
1 - 1 D
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lyon H
2 - 1 W
65%
Strasbourg A
2 - 1 W
60%
Monaco H
2 - 2 D
72%
Lens A
1 - 4 L
60%
Lens A
2 - 3 L
76%
Lille H
0 - 4 L
73%
Paris SG A
1 - 3 L
84%
Lorient H
1 - 0 W
64%
Metz A
4 - 3 W
48%
Marseille H
0 - 1 L
61%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Lyon has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 73.4) compared to Toulouse (SoS: 56.0). This means Lyon's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Lyon averaging 1.4 and Toulouse averaging 1.5 goals per match.

Defensively, Lyon is far superior, conceding just 1.2 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Toulouse leaks 2.2 per match.

Lyon has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Lyon emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (58.2 vs 41.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-05-10), Toulouse beat Lyon 2-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Toulouse secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Lyon will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Toulouse will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Lyon

Lyon

VS
Toulouse

Toulouse

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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