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Compare Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens

Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Panathinaikos Panathinaikos Home Team
AEK Athens AEK Athens Away Team
Panathinaikos
45.5
L D L D W L D W W W

Last 10 Matches

AEK Athens
66.5
W D W W L W W L D W

Categories Won

1

Panathinaikos

2

Draw

12

AEK Athens

Performance Radar

Panathinaikos
AEK Athens

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Zaroury (2 goals)
Zine (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.1

League Difficulty: 61.8, Opponent Quality: 58.1

59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.95

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.25

1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

Adjusted Power Rating
45.5

Attack: 38.0, Defense: 60.2, Form: 38.0

66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

4

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

4
4

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

4
2

76-90+'

2
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens
Panathinaikos

Power Rating Breakdown

45.5

Overall

Attack 38.0
Defense 60.2
Form 38.0
Consistency 50.5
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9
Defense 76.9
Form 65.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

61.8 vs 64.8

Opponent Quality

58.1 vs 61.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
Panathinaikos logo Panathinaikos
L
AEK Athens (67%)
D
AEK Athens (62%)
L
Olympiakos (56%)
D
PAOK (59%)
W
Asteras (61%)
L
Betis (70%)
D
Panaitolikos (48%)
W
Betis (65%)
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Panathinaikos (52%)
D
Panathinaikos (57%)
W
PAOK (54%)
W
Rayo (68%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Olympiakos (61%)
W
Kifisia (49%)
L
Celje (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
AEK Athens A
1 - 2 L
67%
AEK Athens H
0 - 0 D
62%
Olympiakos H
0 - 2 L
56%
PAOK A
0 - 0 D
59%
Asteras A
2 - 1 W
61%
Betis A
0 - 4 L
70%
Panaitolikos H
0 - 0 D
48%
Betis H
1 - 0 W
65%
Levadiakos A
4 - 1 W
49%
OFI H
4 - 1 W
44%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
52%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
57%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
54%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
68%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
73%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
61%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
49%
Celje H
0 - 2 L
67%
Atromitos A
2 - 2 D
59%
Celje A
4 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

AEK Athens has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.8) compared to Panathinaikos (SoS: 45.1). This means AEK Athens's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

AEK Athens holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Panathinaikos's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Panathinaikos conceding 1.1 and AEK Athens conceding 0.9 per match.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

AEK Athens emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (66.5 vs 45.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-05-10), AEK Athens prevailed 2-1 against Panathinaikos. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. AEK Athens secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Panathinaikos will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. AEK Athens will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 0-0 in the Greek Super League (2026-05-03). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos

VS
AEK Athens

AEK Athens

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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