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Compare Paris SG vs AC Milan

Paris SG vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Paris SG vs AC Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Paris SG Paris SG Home Team
AC Milan AC Milan Away Team
Paris SG
83.2
W D D W W W L W W W

Last 10 Matches

AC Milan
47.5
L L D W L L W L W W

Categories Won

14

Paris SG

1

Draw

0

AC Milan

Performance Radar

Paris SG
AC Milan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 2D, 1L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Dembélé (7 goals)
S. Pavlović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
71%

5W / 7 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
71.4

League Difficulty: 90.4, Opponent Quality: 64.9

65.5

League Difficulty: 90.0, Opponent Quality: 70.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.85

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.55

1.05

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
83.2

Attack: 93.1, Defense: 80.9, Form: 85.0

47.5

Attack: 34.6, Defense: 69.3, Form: 46.2

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2

16-30'

4

31-45'

3
5

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

4

76-90+'

4
Paris SG
AC Milan
Paris SG

Power Rating Breakdown

83.2

Overall

Attack 93.1
Defense 80.9
Form 85.0
Consistency 63.7
AC Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

47.5

Overall

Attack 34.6
Defense 69.3
Form 46.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

90.4 vs 90.0

Opponent Quality

64.9 vs 70.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 20%
Paris SG logo Paris SG
W
Brest (56%)
D
Bayern Munich (88%)
D
Lorient (64%)
W
Bayern Munich (83%)
W
Angers (52%)
W
Nantes (51%)
L
Lyon (65%)
W
Liverpool (69%)
AC Milan logo AC Milan
L
Atalanta (64%)
L
Sassuolo (69%)
D
Juventus (80%)
W
Verona (55%)
L
Udinese (74%)
L
Napoli (79%)
W
Torino (69%)
L
Lazio (76%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brest H
1 - 0 W
56%
Bayern Munich A
1 - 1 D
88%
Lorient H
2 - 2 D
64%
Bayern Munich H
5 - 4 W
83%
Angers A
3 - 0 W
52%
Nantes H
3 - 0 W
51%
Lyon H
1 - 2 L
65%
Liverpool A
2 - 0 W
69%
Liverpool H
2 - 0 W
64%
Toulouse H
3 - 1 W
57%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Atalanta H
2 - 3 L
64%
Sassuolo A
0 - 2 L
69%
Juventus H
0 - 0 D
80%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
55%
Udinese H
0 - 3 L
74%
Napoli A
0 - 1 L
79%
Torino H
3 - 2 W
69%
Lazio A
0 - 1 L
76%
Inter Milan H
1 - 0 W
78%
Cremonese A
2 - 0 W
56%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 71.4 vs 65.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Paris SG's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with O. Dembélé leading the charge with 7 goals. AC Milan manages just 0.9 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Paris SG conceding 1.0 and AC Milan conceding 1.2 per match.

AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Paris SG is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Paris SG is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (93.1), defense (80.9), and form (85.0) leaves little room for doubt. AC Milan will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Paris SG

Paris SG

VS
AC Milan

AC Milan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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