Compare Paris SG vs Brest

Paris SG vs Brest Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Paris SG vs Brest: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Paris SG Home Team

Brest Away Team

Paris SG

83.2

W D D W W W L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Brest

40.9

L L D D L L L W W W

Categories Won

Paris SG

Draw

Brest

Performance Radar

Paris SG

Brest

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match

2.3

23 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

+13

-6

Clean Sheet

50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

O. Dembélé (7 goals)

L. Ajorque (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 11

1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5

Home Win Rate

71%

5W / 7 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate

67%

2W / 3 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

71.4

League Difficulty: 90.4, Opponent Quality: 64.9

58.0

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 67.3

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

0W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

2.85

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.55

1.49

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.29

Adjusted Power Rating

83.2

Attack: 93.1, Defense: 80.9, Form: 85.0

40.9

Attack: 43.2, Defense: 43.2, Form: 32.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Paris SG

Brest

Power Rating Breakdown

83.2

Overall

Attack 93.1

Defense 80.9

Form 85.0

Consistency 63.7

Power Rating Breakdown

40.9

Overall

Attack 43.2

Defense 43.2

Form 32.4

Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

90.4 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

64.9 vs 67.3

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%

Paris SG

Brest

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Brest H

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

56%

Bayern Munich A

UEFA Champions League

1 - 1 D

88%

Lorient H

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

64%

Bayern Munich H

UEFA Champions League

5 - 4 W

83%

Angers A

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

52%

Nantes H

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

51%

Lyon H

French Ligue 1

1 - 2 L

65%

Liverpool A

UEFA Champions League

2 - 0 W

69%

Liverpool H

UEFA Champions League

2 - 0 W

64%

Toulouse H

French Ligue 1

3 - 1 W

57%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Paris SG A

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

84%

Paris FC A

French Ligue 1

0 - 4 L

77%

Lens H

French Ligue 1

3 - 3 D

71%

Nantes A

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

56%

Rennes H

French Ligue 1

3 - 4 L

75%

Auxerre A

French Ligue 1

0 - 3 L

71%

Monaco A

French Ligue 1

0 - 2 L

77%

Le Havre H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

53%

Metz A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

48%

Marseille H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

61%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Paris SG has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 71.4) compared to Brest (SoS: 58.0). This means Paris SG's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Paris SG's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with O. Dembélé leading the charge with 7 goals. Brest manages just 1.2 per match.

Defensively, Paris SG is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Brest leaks 1.8 per match.

Brest has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Paris SG is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Paris SG is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (93.1), defense (80.9), and form (85.0) leaves little room for doubt. Brest will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-05-10), Paris SG beat Brest 1-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Paris SG secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Brest will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Paris SG will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Paris SG

Brest

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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