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Compare Paris SG vs Hamburg

Paris SG vs Hamburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Paris SG vs Hamburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Paris SG Paris SG Home Team
Hamburg Hamburg Away Team
Paris SG
83.2
W D D W W W L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Hamburg
41.5
W W L L L D L D W L

Categories Won

12

Paris SG

1

Draw

2

Hamburg

Performance Radar

Paris SG
Hamburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 2D, 1L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Dembélé (7 goals)
R. Glatzel (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
71%

5W / 7 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
71.4

League Difficulty: 90.4, Opponent Quality: 64.9

59.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 66.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.85

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.55

1.67

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.37

Adjusted Power Rating
83.2

Attack: 93.1, Defense: 80.9, Form: 85.0

41.5

Attack: 47.5, Defense: 40.2, Form: 32.9

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

5
5

46-60'

4
3

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

Paris SG
Hamburg
Paris SG

Power Rating Breakdown

83.2

Overall

Attack 93.1
Defense 80.9
Form 85.0
Consistency 63.7
Hamburg

Power Rating Breakdown

41.5

Overall

Attack 47.5
Defense 40.2
Form 32.9
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

90.4 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

64.9 vs 66.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Paris SG logo Paris SG
W
Brest (56%)
D
Bayern Munich (88%)
D
Lorient (64%)
W
Bayern Munich (83%)
W
Angers (52%)
W
Nantes (51%)
L
Lyon (65%)
W
Liverpool (69%)
Hamburg logo Hamburg
W
Freiburg (67%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
L
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Bremen (67%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)
D
Augsburg (66%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
D
Köln (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brest H
1 - 0 W
56%
Bayern Munich A
1 - 1 D
88%
Lorient H
2 - 2 D
64%
Bayern Munich H
5 - 4 W
83%
Angers A
3 - 0 W
52%
Nantes H
3 - 0 W
51%
Lyon H
1 - 2 L
65%
Liverpool A
2 - 0 W
69%
Liverpool H
2 - 0 W
64%
Toulouse H
3 - 1 W
57%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Freiburg H
3 - 2 W
67%
Frankfurt A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
1 - 2 L
65%
Bremen A
1 - 3 L
67%
Stuttgart A
0 - 4 L
75%
Augsburg H
1 - 1 D
66%
Dortmund A
2 - 3 L
76%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Wolfsburg A
2 - 1 W
55%
Leverkusen H
0 - 1 L
65%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Paris SG has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 71.4) compared to Hamburg (SoS: 59.5). This means Paris SG's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Paris SG holds the attacking edge with 2.3 goals per match versus Hamburg's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Paris SG is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Hamburg leaks 1.9 per match.

Paris SG is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Paris SG is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (93.1), defense (80.9), and form (85.0) leaves little room for doubt. Hamburg will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Paris SG

Paris SG

VS
Hamburg

Hamburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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