Compare Paris SG vs Nacional

Paris SG vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Paris SG vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Paris SG Home Team

Nacional Away Team

Paris SG

83.2

W D D W W W L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Nacional

40.8

L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

Paris SG

Draw

Nacional

Performance Radar

Paris SG

Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

2.3

23 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

+13

-3

Clean Sheet

50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

O. Dembélé (7 goals)

J. Ramírez (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 11

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

71%

5W / 7 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

67%

2W / 3 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

71.4

League Difficulty: 90.4, Opponent Quality: 64.9

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

2.85

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.55

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating

83.2

Attack: 93.1, Defense: 80.9, Form: 85.0

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Paris SG

Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

83.2

Overall

Attack 93.1

Defense 80.9

Form 85.0

Consistency 63.7

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5

Defense 65.3

Form 30.9

Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

90.4 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.9 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%

Paris SG

Nacional

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Brest H

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

56%

Bayern Munich A

UEFA Champions League

1 - 1 D

88%

Lorient H

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

64%

Bayern Munich H

UEFA Champions League

5 - 4 W

83%

Angers A

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

52%

Nantes H

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

51%

Lyon H

French Ligue 1

1 - 2 L

65%

Liverpool A

UEFA Champions League

2 - 0 W

69%

Liverpool H

UEFA Champions League

2 - 0 W

64%

Toulouse H

French Ligue 1

3 - 1 W

57%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

71%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

59%

Tondela A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

57%

Alverca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

59%

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

80%

Estrela H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

49%

Famalicão A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

47%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

55%

Braga H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Paris SG has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 71.4) compared to Nacional (SoS: 53.1). This means Paris SG's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Paris SG's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with O. Dembélé leading the charge with 7 goals. Nacional manages just 0.8 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Paris SG conceding 1.0 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Paris SG is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Paris SG is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (93.1), defense (80.9), and form (85.0) leaves little room for doubt. Nacional will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Paris SG

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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