Paris SG vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Paris SG has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 71.4) compared to Toulouse (SoS: 56.0). This means Paris SG's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Paris SG holds the attacking edge with 2.3 goals per match versus Toulouse's 1.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Paris SG is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Toulouse leaks 2.2 per match.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Paris SG is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Paris SG is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (93.1), defense (80.9), and form (85.0) leaves little room for doubt. Toulouse will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In the French Ligue 1 (2026-04-03), Paris SG beat Toulouse 3-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Paris SG secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Toulouse will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Paris SG will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.