Compare Pogoń vs Mechelen

Pogoń vs Mechelen Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Pogoń vs Mechelen: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Pogoń Home Team

Mechelen Away Team

Pogoń

46.9

L W D L W L L W L W

Last 10 Matches

Mechelen

26.6

L W L L L L D L W L

Categories Won

Pogoń

Draw

Mechelen

Performance Radar

Pogoń

Mechelen

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match

1.3

13 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

13 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-16

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

P. Mukairu (3 goals)

B. Boersma (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

54.5

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.8

44.7

League Difficulty: 59.5, Opponent Quality: 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 0 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.02

0.83

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.03

Adjusted Power Rating

46.9

Attack: 45.3, Defense: 59.2, Form: 41.8

26.6

Attack: 25.3, Defense: 18.9, Form: 18.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Pogoń

Mechelen

Power Rating Breakdown

46.9

Overall

Attack 45.3

Defense 59.2

Form 41.8

Consistency 39.7

Power Rating Breakdown

26.6

Overall

Attack 25.3

Defense 18.9

Form 18.9

Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

57.0 vs 59.5

Opponent Quality

52.8 vs 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Pogoń

Mechelen

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Jagiellonia A

Polish Ekstraklasa

2 - 3 L

53%

Wisła Płock H

Polish Ekstraklasa

3 - 0 W

42%

Cracovia A

Polish Ekstraklasa

1 - 1 D

45%

Lech H

Polish Ekstraklasa

1 - 2 L

64%

Piast A

Polish Ekstraklasa

2 - 0 W

58%

Legia H

Polish Ekstraklasa

0 - 2 L

59%

Lechia A

Polish Ekstraklasa

1 - 2 L

51%

Kielce H

Polish Ekstraklasa

2 - 1 W

43%

Raków A

Polish Ekstraklasa

0 - 2 L

59%

Widzew H

Polish Ekstraklasa

1 - 0 W

54%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

R. Union SG A

Belgian First Division A

0 - 3 L

69%

Gent H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 0 W

46%

Sint-Truiden H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 4 L

44%

Club Brugge A

Belgian First Division A

1 - 6 L

71%

Anderlecht H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 2 L

35%

R. Union SG H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

0 - 1 L

75%

Gent A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 1 D

63%

Club Brugge A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 4 L

83%

Anderlecht H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 0 W

47%

Gent A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 3 L

63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.5 vs 44.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Pogoń holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Mechelen's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Pogoń is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Mechelen leaks 2.4 per match.

Pogoń has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Mechelen has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Pogoń emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (46.9 vs 26.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Pogoń

Mechelen

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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