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Compare Porto vs Estrela

Porto vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Porto vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Porto Porto Home Team
Estrela Estrela Away Team
Porto
60.9
L W W W L W D D W W

Last 10 Matches

Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

10

Porto

5

Draw

0

Estrela

Performance Radar

Porto
Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
William (3 goals)
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.9

League Difficulty: 80.8, Opponent Quality: 64.4

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.73

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.13

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating
60.9

Attack: 55.9, Defense: 69.9, Form: 62.9

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

4

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

2
4

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

2
Porto
Estrela
Porto

Power Rating Breakdown

60.9

Overall

Attack 55.9
Defense 69.9
Form 62.9
Consistency 52.0
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.8 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.4 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Porto logo Porto
L
AVS (64%)
W
Alverca (59%)
W
Estrela (54%)
W
Tondela (52%)
L
Nottm Forest (81%)
W
Estoril (52%)
D
Nottm Forest (76%)
D
Famalicão (69%)
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
AVS A
1 - 3 L
64%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Estrela A
2 - 1 W
54%
Tondela H
2 - 0 W
52%
Nottm Forest A
0 - 1 L
81%
Estoril A
3 - 1 W
52%
Nottm Forest H
1 - 1 D
76%
Famalicão H
2 - 2 D
69%
Braga A
2 - 1 W
69%
Stuttgart H
2 - 0 W
68%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.9 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Porto holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Estrela's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Porto has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Estrela's 1.3.

Porto is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Porto emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (60.9 vs 39.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In their recent Portuguese Primeira Liga match (2026-04-26), Porto prevailed 1-2 against Estrela. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Porto achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Estrela shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Estrela will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Porto will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Porto

Porto

VS
Estrela

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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