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Compare PSV vs Nacional

PSV vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare PSV vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

PSV PSV Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
PSV
80.0
W D W W W L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

12

PSV

1

Draw

2

Nacional

Performance Radar

PSV
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 1D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
2.9

29 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Pepi (7 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 17
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
78.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 61.8

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
100%

2W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
3.64

Actual: 2.9 | Diff: -0.74

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
80.0

Attack: 100, Defense: 60.0, Form: 90.0

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

1
7

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

3
9

76-90+'

PSV
Nacional
PSV

Power Rating Breakdown

80.0

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 60.0
Form 90.0
Consistency 53.2
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 0%
PSV logo PSV
W
Go Ahead (70%)
D
Ajax (67%)
W
Zwolle (54%)
W
Sparta (49%)
W
Utrecht (70%)
L
Telstar (69%)
L
NEC (64%)
W
AZ (67%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Go Ahead A
4 - 1 W
70%
Ajax A
2 - 2 D
67%
Zwolle H
6 - 1 W
54%
Sparta A
2 - 0 W
49%
Utrecht H
4 - 3 W
70%
Telstar A
1 - 3 L
69%
NEC H
2 - 3 L
64%
AZ H
2 - 1 W
67%
Heracles A
3 - 1 W
41%
Heerenveen H
3 - 1 W
67%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

PSV has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 78.6) compared to Nacional (SoS: 53.1). This means PSV's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

PSV's attack is on another level, averaging 2.9 goals per match with R. Pepi leading the charge with 7 goals. Nacional manages just 0.8 per match.

Nacional has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to PSV's 1.6.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors PSV, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

PSV is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, PSV is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (100), defense (60.0), and form (90.0) leaves little room for doubt. Nacional will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

PSV

PSV

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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