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Compare PSV vs NEC

PSV vs NEC Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare PSV vs NEC: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

PSV PSV Home Team
NEC NEC Away Team
PSV
80.0
W D W W W L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

NEC
56.6
L D D D W D W W L D

Categories Won

12

PSV

1

Draw

2

NEC

Performance Radar

PSV
NEC

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 1D, 2L

30%

3W, 5D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.9

29 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Pepi (7 goals)
B. Linssen (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 17
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
78.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 61.8

67.5

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 65.7

Elite Opponent Record
100%

2W / 2 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
3.64

Actual: 2.9 | Diff: -0.74

2.04

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.34

Adjusted Power Rating
80.0

Attack: 100, Defense: 60.0, Form: 90.0

56.6

Attack: 66.6, Defense: 66.6, Form: 35.2

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2

16-30'

4
4

31-45'

3
7

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

3
9

76-90+'

4
PSV
NEC
PSV

Power Rating Breakdown

80.0

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 60.0
Form 90.0
Consistency 53.2
NEC

Power Rating Breakdown

56.6

Overall

Attack 66.6
Defense 66.6
Form 35.2
Consistency 62.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 65.7

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 50%
PSV logo PSV
W
Go Ahead (70%)
D
Ajax (67%)
W
Zwolle (54%)
W
Sparta (49%)
W
Utrecht (70%)
L
Telstar (69%)
L
NEC (64%)
W
AZ (67%)
NEC logo NEC
L
Groningen (66%)
D
Telstar (64%)
D
Twente (81%)
D
Feyenoord (67%)
W
Excelsior (60%)
D
Heerenveen (67%)
W
PSV (80%)
W
Volendam (49%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Go Ahead A
4 - 1 W
70%
Ajax A
2 - 2 D
67%
Zwolle H
6 - 1 W
54%
Sparta A
2 - 0 W
49%
Utrecht H
4 - 3 W
70%
Telstar A
1 - 3 L
69%
NEC H
2 - 3 L
64%
AZ H
2 - 1 W
67%
Heracles A
3 - 1 W
41%
Heerenveen H
3 - 1 W
67%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Groningen A
1 - 2 L
66%
Telstar H
1 - 1 D
64%
Twente A
1 - 1 D
81%
Feyenoord H
1 - 1 D
67%
Excelsior A
2 - 0 W
60%
Heerenveen H
2 - 2 D
67%
PSV A
3 - 2 W
80%
Volendam H
3 - 0 W
49%
Fortuna H
2 - 3 L
56%
Ajax A
1 - 1 D
67%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

PSV has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 78.6) compared to NEC (SoS: 67.5). This means PSV's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

PSV's attack is on another level, averaging 2.9 goals per match with R. Pepi leading the charge with 7 goals. NEC manages just 1.7 per match.

NEC has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to PSV's 1.6.

The home advantage factor favors PSV, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

PSV is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

PSV emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (80.0 vs 56.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In their recent Dutch Eredivisie match (2026-03-14), NEC prevailed 2-3 against PSV. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, NEC achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against PSV shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. PSV will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. NEC will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

PSV

PSV

VS
NEC

NEC

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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