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Compare PSV vs Winterthur

PSV vs Winterthur Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare PSV vs Winterthur: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

PSV PSV Home Team
Winterthur Winterthur Away Team
PSV
80.0
W D W W W L L W W W

Last 10 Matches

Winterthur
33.7
L W D L L L L W D D

Categories Won

14

PSV

1

Draw

0

Winterthur

Performance Radar

PSV
Winterthur

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 1D, 2L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.9

29 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Pepi (7 goals)
N. Burkart (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 17
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
78.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 61.8

36.6

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 48.5

Elite Opponent Record
100%

2W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
3.64

Actual: 2.9 | Diff: -0.74

1.46

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
80.0

Attack: 100, Defense: 60.0, Form: 90.0

33.7

Attack: 40.4, Defense: 28.9, Form: 17.3

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

4
7

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

1
9

76-90+'

1
PSV
Winterthur
PSV

Power Rating Breakdown

80.0

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 60.0
Form 90.0
Consistency 53.2
Winterthur

Power Rating Breakdown

33.7

Overall

Attack 40.4
Defense 28.9
Form 17.3
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 49.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 48.5

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 0%
PSV logo PSV
W
Go Ahead (70%)
D
Ajax (67%)
W
Zwolle (54%)
W
Sparta (49%)
W
Utrecht (70%)
L
Telstar (69%)
L
NEC (64%)
W
AZ (67%)
Winterthur logo Winterthur
L
GC Zürich (36%)
W
Lausanne (42%)
D
Zürich (37%)
L
Servette (70%)
L
GC Zürich (27%)
L
Lausanne (43%)
L
Basel (46%)
W
Luzern (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Go Ahead A
4 - 1 W
70%
Ajax A
2 - 2 D
67%
Zwolle H
6 - 1 W
54%
Sparta A
2 - 0 W
49%
Utrecht H
4 - 3 W
70%
Telstar A
1 - 3 L
69%
NEC H
2 - 3 L
64%
AZ H
2 - 1 W
67%
Heracles A
3 - 1 W
41%
Heerenveen H
3 - 1 W
67%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
GC Zürich A
2 - 3 L
36%
Lausanne H
2 - 1 W
42%
Zürich H
2 - 2 D
37%
Servette A
3 - 5 L
70%
GC Zürich H
0 - 2 L
27%
Lausanne A
1 - 2 L
43%
Basel H
0 - 2 L
46%
Luzern A
2 - 1 W
57%
Sion A
1 - 1 D
66%
Servette H
1 - 1 D
61%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

PSV has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 78.6) compared to Winterthur (SoS: 36.6). This means PSV's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

PSV's attack is on another level, averaging 2.9 goals per match with R. Pepi leading the charge with 7 goals. Winterthur manages just 1.4 per match.

PSV has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Winterthur's 2.0.

The home advantage factor favors PSV, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

PSV is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, PSV is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (100), defense (60.0), and form (90.0) leaves little room for doubt. Winterthur will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

PSV

PSV

VS
Winterthur

Winterthur

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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