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Compare Rayo vs Estrela

Rayo vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Rayo Home Team
Estrela Estrela Away Team
Rayo
65.9
D W W W D W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

12

Rayo

1

Draw

2

Estrela

Performance Radar

Rayo
Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Alemão (4 goals)
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating
65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

2

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

2
Rayo
Estrela
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7
Defense 79.5
Form 71.6
Consistency 52.0
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Rayo logo Rayo
D
Girona (59%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
D
Real Sociedad (61%)
W
Espanyol (50%)
L
AEK Athens (75%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
57%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
52%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
50%
AEK Athens A
1 - 3 L
75%
Mallorca A
0 - 3 L
73%
AEK Athens H
3 - 0 W
70%
Elche H
1 - 0 W
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.3) compared to Estrela (SoS: 53.1). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Rayo holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Estrela's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Estrela's 1.3.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Rayo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.9 vs 39.2) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Rayo

VS
Estrela

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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