Compare Rayo vs Freiburg

Rayo vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Freiburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Home Team

Freiburg Away Team

Rayo

65.9

D W W W D W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Freiburg

56.4

L W D L L L W W W W

Categories Won

Rayo

Draw

Freiburg

Performance Radar

Rayo

Freiburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

Clean Sheet

60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Alemão (4 goals)

I. Matanović (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7

Home Win Rate

67%

4W / 6 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

Elite Opponent Record

50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

Adjusted Power Rating

65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Rayo

Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7

Defense 79.5

Form 71.6

Consistency 52.0

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4

Defense 56.8

Form 56.8

Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 84.0

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 62.1

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 33%

Rayo

Freiburg

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Girona H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 1 D

59%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

57%

Getafe A

Spanish La Liga

2 - 0 W

72%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

1 - 0 W

52%

Real Sociedad H

Spanish La Liga

3 - 3 D

61%

Espanyol H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

50%

AEK Athens A

UEFA Conference League

1 - 3 L

75%

Mallorca A

Spanish La Liga

0 - 3 L

73%

AEK Athens H

UEFA Conference League

3 - 0 W

70%

Elche H

Spanish La Liga

1 - 0 W

61%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Hamburg A

German Bundesliga

2 - 3 L

63%

Braga H

UEFA Europa League

3 - 1 W

66%

Wolfsburg H

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

50%

Braga A

UEFA Europa League

1 - 2 L

71%

Dortmund A

German Bundesliga

0 - 4 L

76%

Stuttgart A

German DFB Pokal

1 - 2 L

57%

Heidenheim H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

62%

Celta Vigo A

UEFA Europa League

3 - 1 W

56%

Mainz 05 A

German Bundesliga

1 - 0 W

70%

Celta Vigo H

UEFA Europa League

3 - 0 W

50%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.3 vs 63.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Rayo's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Freiburg's 1.5.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Rayo has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Freiburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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