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Compare Rayo vs Hamburg

Rayo vs Hamburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Hamburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Rayo Home Team
Hamburg Hamburg Away Team
Rayo
65.9
D W W W D W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Hamburg
41.5
W W L L L D L D W L

Categories Won

12

Rayo

1

Draw

2

Hamburg

Performance Radar

Rayo
Hamburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Alemão (4 goals)
R. Glatzel (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

59.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 66.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

1.67

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.37

Adjusted Power Rating
65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

41.5

Attack: 47.5, Defense: 40.2, Form: 32.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

5
3

46-60'

4
3

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

Rayo
Hamburg
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7
Defense 79.5
Form 71.6
Consistency 52.0
Hamburg

Power Rating Breakdown

41.5

Overall

Attack 47.5
Defense 40.2
Form 32.9
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 66.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Rayo logo Rayo
D
Girona (59%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
D
Real Sociedad (61%)
W
Espanyol (50%)
L
AEK Athens (75%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
Hamburg logo Hamburg
W
Freiburg (67%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
L
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Bremen (67%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)
D
Augsburg (66%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
D
Köln (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
57%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
52%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
50%
AEK Athens A
1 - 3 L
75%
Mallorca A
0 - 3 L
73%
AEK Athens H
3 - 0 W
70%
Elche H
1 - 0 W
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Freiburg H
3 - 2 W
67%
Frankfurt A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
1 - 2 L
65%
Bremen A
1 - 3 L
67%
Stuttgart A
0 - 4 L
75%
Augsburg H
1 - 1 D
66%
Dortmund A
2 - 3 L
76%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Wolfsburg A
2 - 1 W
55%
Leverkusen H
0 - 1 L
65%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.3 vs 59.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Rayo averaging 1.4 and Hamburg averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Defensively, Rayo is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Hamburg leaks 1.9 per match.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Rayo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.9 vs 41.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Rayo

VS
Hamburg

Hamburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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