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Compare Rayo vs Jagiellonia

Rayo vs Jagiellonia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Jagiellonia: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Rayo Home Team
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia Away Team
Rayo
65.9
D W W W D W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Jagiellonia
45.0
W L W D D L W L L D

Categories Won

10

Rayo

3

Draw

2

Jagiellonia

Performance Radar

Rayo
Jagiellonia

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

30%

3W, 3D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Alemão (4 goals)
A. Pululu (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

29%

2W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

54.4

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.7

Elite Opponent Record
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

1.23

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.17

Adjusted Power Rating
65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

45.0

Attack: 48.7, Defense: 52.2, Form: 31.3

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

3

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

3
Rayo
Jagiellonia
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7
Defense 79.5
Form 71.6
Consistency 52.0
Jagiellonia

Power Rating Breakdown

45.0

Overall

Attack 48.7
Defense 52.2
Form 31.3
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 52.7

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Rayo logo Rayo
D
Girona (59%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
D
Real Sociedad (61%)
W
Espanyol (50%)
L
AEK Athens (75%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
Jagiellonia logo Jagiellonia
W
Pogoń (49%)
L
Górnik (53%)
W
Arka (49%)
D
Kielce (48%)
D
Lech (64%)
L
Wisła Płock (42%)
W
GKS Katowice (59%)
L
Piast (53%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
57%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
52%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
50%
AEK Athens A
1 - 3 L
75%
Mallorca A
0 - 3 L
73%
AEK Athens H
3 - 0 W
70%
Elche H
1 - 0 W
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Pogoń H
3 - 2 W
49%
Górnik H
1 - 2 L
53%
Arka A
3 - 0 W
49%
Kielce A
1 - 1 D
48%
Lech H
0 - 0 D
64%
Wisła Płock H
1 - 2 L
42%
GKS Katowice H
2 - 1 W
59%
Piast H
1 - 2 L
53%
Lechia A
0 - 3 L
51%
Legia H
2 - 2 D
59%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.3) compared to Jagiellonia (SoS: 54.4). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Rayo averaging 1.4 and Jagiellonia averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Jagiellonia's 1.5.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Jagiellonia has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Rayo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.9 vs 45.0) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Rayo

VS
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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