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Compare Rayo vs Kocaelispor

Rayo vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Kocaelispor: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Rayo Home Team
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor Away Team
Rayo
65.9
D W W W D W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Kocaelispor
36.8
L D L D D D L L W L

Categories Won

13

Rayo

1

Draw

1

Kocaelispor

Performance Radar

Rayo
Kocaelispor

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

10%

1W, 4D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.5

5 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Alemão (4 goals)
S. Dursun (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

64.6

League Difficulty: 72.0, Opponent Quality: 59.6

Elite Opponent Record
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

0.51

Actual: 0.5 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

36.8

Attack: 19.1, Defense: 64.9, Form: 11.5

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

3

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

1
Rayo
Kocaelispor
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7
Defense 79.5
Form 71.6
Consistency 52.0
Kocaelispor

Power Rating Breakdown

36.8

Overall

Attack 19.1
Defense 64.9
Form 11.5
Consistency 75.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 72.0

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Rayo logo Rayo
D
Girona (59%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
D
Real Sociedad (61%)
W
Espanyol (50%)
L
AEK Athens (75%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
Kocaelispor logo Kocaelispor
L
Fatih (55%)
D
Kasımpaşa (57%)
L
Gençlerbirliği (50%)
D
Göztepe (59%)
D
Galatasaray (69%)
D
Başakşehir (66%)
L
Alanyaspor (61%)
L
Konyaspor (61%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
57%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
52%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
50%
AEK Athens A
1 - 3 L
75%
Mallorca A
0 - 3 L
73%
AEK Athens H
3 - 0 W
70%
Elche H
1 - 0 W
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Fatih H
0 - 1 L
55%
Kasımpaşa A
1 - 1 D
57%
Gençlerbirliği A
0 - 1 L
50%
Göztepe H
1 - 1 D
59%
Galatasaray A
1 - 1 D
69%
Başakşehir H
0 - 0 D
66%
Alanyaspor A
0 - 5 L
61%
Konyaspor H
1 - 2 L
61%
Eyüp A
1 - 0 W
58%
Beşiktaş H
0 - 1 L
60%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.3 vs 64.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Rayo holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Kocaelispor's 0.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Kocaelispor's 1.3.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Kocaelispor has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.1 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Rayo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.9 vs 36.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Rayo

VS
Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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