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Compare Rayo vs Napredak

Rayo vs Napredak Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Napredak: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Rayo Home Team
Napredak Napredak Away Team
Rayo
65.9
D W W W D W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Napredak
25.8
W L L L L L L L D L

Categories Won

12

Rayo

1

Draw

2

Napredak

Performance Radar

Rayo
Napredak

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

10%

1W, 1D, 8L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-16

-16

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Alemão (4 goals)
N. Bogdanovski (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

41.4

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 55.5

Elite Opponent Record
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

0.82

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

25.8

Attack: 24.4, Defense: 18.3, Form: 9.1

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

2

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

3
Rayo
Napredak
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7
Defense 79.5
Form 71.6
Consistency 52.0
Napredak

Power Rating Breakdown

25.8

Overall

Attack 24.4
Defense 18.3
Form 9.1
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 55.5

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Rayo logo Rayo
D
Girona (59%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
D
Real Sociedad (61%)
W
Espanyol (50%)
L
AEK Athens (75%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
Napredak logo Napredak
W
Spartak (33%)
L
Radnički Niš (44%)
L
Javor (56%)
L
FK IMT (58%)
L
TSC (60%)
L
Mladost Lučani (53%)
L
TSC (56%)
L
Vojvodina (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
57%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
52%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
50%
AEK Athens A
1 - 3 L
75%
Mallorca A
0 - 3 L
73%
AEK Athens H
3 - 0 W
70%
Elche H
1 - 0 W
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Spartak A
3 - 0 W
33%
Radnički Niš H
0 - 1 L
44%
Javor A
0 - 4 L
56%
FK IMT H
0 - 1 L
58%
TSC A
1 - 4 L
60%
Mladost Lučani A
0 - 2 L
53%
TSC H
1 - 2 L
56%
Vojvodina A
1 - 4 L
68%
OFK H
2 - 2 D
53%
Red Star A
0 - 4 L
74%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.3) compared to Napredak (SoS: 41.4). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Rayo holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Napredak's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Rayo is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Napredak leaks 2.4 per match.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Rayo is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (55.7), defense (79.5), and form (71.6) leaves little room for doubt. Napredak will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Rayo

VS
Napredak

Napredak

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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