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Compare Rayo vs Real Madrid

Rayo vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Real Madrid: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Rayo Home Team
Real Madrid Real Madrid Away Team
Rayo
65.9
D W W W D W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Real Madrid
53.3
L W D W L D L L W W

Categories Won

9

Rayo

1

Draw

5

Real Madrid

Performance Radar

Rayo
Real Madrid

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

0

0

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Alemão (4 goals)
Vinícius Júnior (8 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

67.5

League Difficulty: 94.2, Opponent Quality: 73.2

Elite Opponent Record
50%

2W / 4 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

2.0

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.4

Adjusted Power Rating
65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

53.3

Attack: 62.7, Defense: 54.8, Form: 47.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

4
2

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

5
3

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

2
Rayo
Real Madrid
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7
Defense 79.5
Form 71.6
Consistency 52.0
Real Madrid

Power Rating Breakdown

53.3

Overall

Attack 62.7
Defense 54.8
Form 47.0
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 94.2

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 73.2

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 17%
Rayo logo Rayo
D
Girona (59%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
D
Real Sociedad (61%)
W
Espanyol (50%)
L
AEK Athens (75%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
Real Madrid logo Real Madrid
L
Barcelona (91%)
W
Espanyol (55%)
D
Betis (73%)
W
Alavés (60%)
L
Bayern Munich (88%)
D
Girona (59%)
L
Bayern Munich (83%)
L
Mallorca (73%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
57%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
52%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
50%
AEK Athens A
1 - 3 L
75%
Mallorca A
0 - 3 L
73%
AEK Athens H
3 - 0 W
70%
Elche H
1 - 0 W
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Barcelona A
0 - 2 L
91%
Espanyol A
2 - 0 W
55%
Betis A
1 - 1 D
73%
Alavés H
2 - 1 W
60%
Bayern Munich A
3 - 4 L
88%
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Bayern Munich H
1 - 2 L
83%
Mallorca A
1 - 2 L
73%
Atlético H
3 - 2 W
61%
Man City A
2 - 1 W
89%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.3 vs 67.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Rayo averaging 1.4 and Real Madrid averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Real Madrid's 1.6.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Real Madrid has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Rayo has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.6 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Rayo

VS
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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