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Compare Rayo vs Villarreal

Rayo vs Villarreal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Rayo vs Villarreal: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Rayo Rayo Home Team
Villarreal Villarreal Away Team
Rayo
65.9
D W W W D W L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Villarreal
64.0
D W W D W L W D W L

Categories Won

7

Rayo

1

Draw

7

Villarreal

Performance Radar

Rayo
Villarreal

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
60%

6 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Alemão (4 goals)
N. Pépé (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

100%

4W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

68.8

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

Elite Opponent Record
50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

2.18

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.38

Adjusted Power Rating
65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

64.0

Attack: 71.3, Defense: 67.3, Form: 59.4

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

3
Rayo
Villarreal
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7
Defense 79.5
Form 71.6
Consistency 52.0
Villarreal

Power Rating Breakdown

64.0

Overall

Attack 71.3
Defense 67.3
Form 59.4
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.0 vs 93.0

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 66.6

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 33%
Rayo logo Rayo
D
Girona (59%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
D
Real Sociedad (61%)
W
Espanyol (50%)
L
AEK Athens (75%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
Villarreal logo Villarreal
D
Mallorca (73%)
W
Levante (71%)
W
Celta Vigo (54%)
D
Oviedo (66%)
W
Athletic (60%)
L
Girona (64%)
W
Real Sociedad (61%)
D
Alavés (65%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
57%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
52%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
50%
AEK Athens A
1 - 3 L
75%
Mallorca A
0 - 3 L
73%
AEK Athens H
3 - 0 W
70%
Elche H
1 - 0 W
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Mallorca A
1 - 1 D
73%
Levante H
5 - 1 W
71%
Celta Vigo H
2 - 1 W
54%
Oviedo A
1 - 1 D
66%
Athletic A
2 - 1 W
60%
Girona A
0 - 1 L
64%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 1 W
61%
Alavés A
1 - 1 D
65%
Elche H
2 - 1 W
61%
Barcelona A
1 - 4 L
91%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.3 vs 68.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Villarreal holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Rayo's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Villarreal's 1.3.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Villarreal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Villarreal, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Rayo

Rayo

VS
Villarreal

Villarreal

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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