Compare Leipzig vs Lille

Leipzig vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Leipzig vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Leipzig Home Team

Lille Away Team

Leipzig

74.6

W L W W W W W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Lille

72.8

W D W D W W W L W L

Categories Won

Leipzig

Draw

Lille

Performance Radar

Leipzig

Lille

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

80%

8W, 0D, 2L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

11 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

+10

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

Y. Diomande (4 goals)

Matías Fernández (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

100%

5W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate

60%

3W / 5 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

75.1

League Difficulty: 85.8, Opponent Quality: 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 2 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

1.66

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.26

Adjusted Power Rating

74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

72.8

Attack: 58.4, Defense: 100, Form: 75.1

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Leipzig

Lille

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1

Defense 68.8

Form 87.0

Consistency 56.8

Power Rating Breakdown

72.8

Overall

Attack 58.4

Defense 100

Form 75.1

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 85.8

Opponent Quality

63.8 vs 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 67%

Leipzig

Lille

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

St. Pauli H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

50%

Leverkusen A

German Bundesliga

1 - 4 L

70%

Union Berlin H

German Bundesliga

3 - 1 W

52%

Frankfurt A

German Bundesliga

3 - 1 W

67%

M'gladbach H

German Bundesliga

1 - 0 W

63%

Bremen A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

67%

Hoffenheim H

German Bundesliga

5 - 0 W

65%

Stuttgart A

German Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

75%

Augsburg H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

66%

Hamburg A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

63%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Monaco A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

77%

Le Havre H

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

53%

Paris FC A

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

77%

Nice H

French Ligue 1

0 - 0 D

55%

Toulouse A

French Ligue 1

4 - 0 W

62%

Lens H

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

71%

Marseille A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

66%

Aston Villa A

UEFA Europa League

0 - 2 L

75%

Rennes A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

80%

Aston Villa H

UEFA Europa League

0 - 1 L

70%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Lille has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 75.1) compared to Leipzig (SoS: 58.7). This means Lille's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Leipzig holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Lille's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Lille has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to Leipzig's 1.1.

Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 6 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Lille is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Leipzig

Lille

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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