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Compare Leipzig vs Varaždin

Leipzig vs Varaždin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Leipzig vs Varaždin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Leipzig Leipzig Home Team
Varaždin Varaždin Away Team
Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Varaždin
42.1
D L L W W W D L W D

Categories Won

9

Leipzig

5

Draw

1

Varaždin

Performance Radar

Leipzig
Varaždin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
80%

8W, 0D, 2L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
A. Latković (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
100%

5W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

34.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

1.06

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

42.1

Attack: 36.7, Defense: 53.6, Form: 33.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
6

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
6

76-90+'

1
Leipzig
Varaždin
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8
Varaždin

Power Rating Breakdown

42.1

Overall

Attack 36.7
Defense 53.6
Form 33.8
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

63.8 vs 47.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)
Varaždin logo Varaždin
D
Lokomotiva (44%)
L
Hajduk (58%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (76%)
W
Rijeka (44%)
W
Osijek (46%)
W
Slaven (35%)
D
Gorica (44%)
L
Istra (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lokomotiva H
1 - 1 D
44%
Hajduk A
1 - 3 L
58%
Dinamo Zagreb A
1 - 2 L
76%
Rijeka H
1 - 0 W
44%
Osijek A
2 - 0 W
46%
Slaven H
2 - 1 W
35%
Gorica H
1 - 1 D
44%
Istra A
1 - 2 L
46%
Vukovar H
2 - 0 W
32%
Lokomotiva A
1 - 1 D
49%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Leipzig has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 58.7) compared to Varaždin (SoS: 34.6). This means Leipzig's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Leipzig holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Varaždin's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Leipzig conceding 1.1 and Varaždin conceding 1.1 per match.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Leipzig is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (76.1), defense (68.8), and form (87.0) leaves little room for doubt. Varaždin will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Leipzig

Leipzig

VS
Varaždin

Varaždin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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