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Compare Leipzig vs Wolfsburg

Leipzig vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Leipzig vs Wolfsburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Leipzig Leipzig Home Team
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg Away Team
Leipzig
74.6
W L W W W W W L W W

Last 10 Matches

Wolfsburg
34.5
L D D W L L L D L L

Categories Won

12

Leipzig

2

Draw

1

Wolfsburg

Performance Radar

Leipzig
Wolfsburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
80%

8W, 0D, 2L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

-10

-10

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Y. Diomande (4 goals)
K. Koulierakis (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
100%

5W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.8

59.8

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.71

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.61

1.08

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.18

Adjusted Power Rating
74.6

Attack: 76.1, Defense: 68.8, Form: 87.0

34.5

Attack: 32.9, Defense: 40.3, Form: 11.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
6

16-30'

2
3

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

1
6

76-90+'

1
Leipzig
Wolfsburg
Leipzig

Power Rating Breakdown

74.6

Overall

Attack 76.1
Defense 68.8
Form 87.0
Consistency 56.8
Wolfsburg

Power Rating Breakdown

34.5

Overall

Attack 32.9
Defense 40.3
Form 11.0
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

63.8 vs 67.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Leipzig logo Leipzig
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
W
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Bremen (67%)
W
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)
Wolfsburg logo Wolfsburg
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Freiburg (72%)
D
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Frankfurt (62%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
L
Bremen (62%)
D
Hoffenheim (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St. Pauli H
2 - 1 W
50%
Leverkusen A
1 - 4 L
70%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
Frankfurt A
3 - 1 W
67%
M'gladbach H
1 - 0 W
63%
Bremen A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
5 - 0 W
65%
Stuttgart A
0 - 1 L
75%
Augsburg H
2 - 1 W
66%
Hamburg A
2 - 1 W
63%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Bayern Munich H
0 - 1 L
81%
Freiburg A
1 - 1 D
72%
M'gladbach H
0 - 0 D
63%
Union Berlin A
2 - 1 W
57%
Frankfurt H
1 - 2 L
62%
Leverkusen A
3 - 6 L
70%
Bremen H
0 - 1 L
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 1 D
70%
Hamburg H
1 - 2 L
58%
Stuttgart A
0 - 4 L
75%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 58.7 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Leipzig's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with Y. Diomande leading the charge with 4 goals. Wolfsburg manages just 0.9 per match.

Leipzig has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Wolfsburg's 1.9.

Wolfsburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Leipzig, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Leipzig is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Leipzig is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (76.1), defense (68.8), and form (87.0) leaves little room for doubt. Wolfsburg will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Leipzig

Leipzig

VS
Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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