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Compare Real Madrid vs AC Milan

Real Madrid vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Real Madrid vs AC Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Real Madrid Real Madrid Home Team
AC Milan AC Milan Away Team
Real Madrid
53.3
L W D W L D L L W W

Last 10 Matches

AC Milan
47.5
L L D W L L W L W W

Categories Won

9

Real Madrid

2

Draw

4

AC Milan

Performance Radar

Real Madrid
AC Milan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Vinícius Júnior (8 goals)
S. Pavlović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.5

League Difficulty: 94.2, Opponent Quality: 73.2

65.5

League Difficulty: 90.0, Opponent Quality: 70.0

Elite Opponent Record
17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.0

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.4

1.05

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
53.3

Attack: 62.7, Defense: 54.8, Form: 47.0

47.5

Attack: 34.6, Defense: 69.3, Form: 46.2

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4

16-30'

1

31-45'

3
5

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

2

76-90+'

4
Real Madrid
AC Milan
Real Madrid

Power Rating Breakdown

53.3

Overall

Attack 62.7
Defense 54.8
Form 47.0
Consistency 44.8
AC Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

47.5

Overall

Attack 34.6
Defense 69.3
Form 46.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

94.2 vs 90.0

Opponent Quality

73.2 vs 70.0

Elite Opponent Record

17% vs 20%
Real Madrid logo Real Madrid
L
Barcelona (91%)
W
Espanyol (55%)
D
Betis (73%)
W
Alavés (60%)
L
Bayern Munich (88%)
D
Girona (59%)
L
Bayern Munich (83%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
AC Milan logo AC Milan
L
Atalanta (64%)
L
Sassuolo (69%)
D
Juventus (80%)
W
Verona (55%)
L
Udinese (74%)
L
Napoli (79%)
W
Torino (69%)
L
Lazio (76%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Barcelona A
0 - 2 L
91%
Espanyol A
2 - 0 W
55%
Betis A
1 - 1 D
73%
Alavés H
2 - 1 W
60%
Bayern Munich A
3 - 4 L
88%
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Bayern Munich H
1 - 2 L
83%
Mallorca A
1 - 2 L
73%
Atlético H
3 - 2 W
61%
Man City A
2 - 1 W
89%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Atalanta H
2 - 3 L
64%
Sassuolo A
0 - 2 L
69%
Juventus H
0 - 0 D
80%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
55%
Udinese H
0 - 3 L
74%
Napoli A
0 - 1 L
79%
Torino H
3 - 2 W
69%
Lazio A
0 - 1 L
76%
Inter Milan H
1 - 0 W
78%
Cremonese A
2 - 0 W
56%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.5 vs 65.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Real Madrid holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus AC Milan's 0.9, though the gap is not insurmountable.

AC Milan has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Real Madrid's 1.6.

Real Madrid has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Real Madrid has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

VS
AC Milan

AC Milan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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