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Compare Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Real Madrid Real Madrid Home Team
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich Away Team
Real Madrid
53.3
L W D W L D L L W W

Last 10 Matches

Bayern Munich
78.0
W D D L W W W W W W

Categories Won

3

Real Madrid

2

Draw

10

Bayern Munich

Performance Radar

Real Madrid
Bayern Munich

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

3.0

30 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+12

+12

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Vinícius Júnior (8 goals)
H. Kane (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 19
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
67.5

League Difficulty: 94.2, Opponent Quality: 73.2

74.0

League Difficulty: 88.8, Opponent Quality: 67.1

Elite Opponent Record
17%

1W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.0

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.4

3.73

Actual: 3.0 | Diff: -0.73

Adjusted Power Rating
53.3

Attack: 62.7, Defense: 54.8, Form: 47.0

78.0

Attack: 100, Defense: 49.6, Form: 86.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

7
5

46-60'

7
3

61-75'

4
2

76-90+'

8
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
Real Madrid

Power Rating Breakdown

53.3

Overall

Attack 62.7
Defense 54.8
Form 47.0
Consistency 44.8
Bayern Munich

Power Rating Breakdown

78.0

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 49.6
Form 86.8
Consistency 63.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

94.2 vs 88.8

Opponent Quality

73.2 vs 67.1

Elite Opponent Record

17% vs 60%
Real Madrid logo Real Madrid
L
Barcelona (91%)
W
Espanyol (55%)
D
Betis (73%)
W
Alavés (60%)
L
Bayern Munich (88%)
D
Girona (59%)
L
Bayern Munich (83%)
L
Mallorca (73%)
Bayern Munich logo Bayern Munich
W
Wolfsburg (55%)
D
Paris SG (83%)
D
Heidenheim (62%)
L
Paris SG (88%)
W
Mainz 05 (70%)
W
Leverkusen (51%)
W
Stuttgart (70%)
W
Real Madrid (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Barcelona A
0 - 2 L
91%
Espanyol A
2 - 0 W
55%
Betis A
1 - 1 D
73%
Alavés H
2 - 1 W
60%
Bayern Munich A
3 - 4 L
88%
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Bayern Munich H
1 - 2 L
83%
Mallorca A
1 - 2 L
73%
Atlético H
3 - 2 W
61%
Man City A
2 - 1 W
89%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Wolfsburg A
1 - 0 W
55%
Paris SG H
1 - 1 D
83%
Heidenheim H
3 - 3 D
62%
Paris SG A
4 - 5 L
88%
Mainz 05 A
4 - 3 W
70%
Leverkusen A
2 - 0 W
51%
Stuttgart H
4 - 2 W
70%
Real Madrid H
4 - 3 W
66%
St. Pauli A
5 - 0 W
55%
Real Madrid A
2 - 1 W
71%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 67.5 vs 74.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Bayern Munich's attack is on another level, averaging 3.0 goals per match with H. Kane leading the charge with 7 goals. Real Madrid manages just 1.6 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Real Madrid conceding 1.6 and Bayern Munich conceding 1.8 per match.

Real Madrid has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bayern Munich has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 5 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Bayern Munich is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Bayern Munich emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (78.0 vs 53.3) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-04-15): Bayern Munich defeated Real Madrid 4-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Bayern Munich's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Real Madrid. Bayern Munich secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 4-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Real Madrid will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bayern Munich will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-04-07): Bayern Munich defeated Real Madrid 1-2. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Bayern Munich's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Real Madrid. Notably, Bayern Munich achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Real Madrid shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Real Madrid will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bayern Munich will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

VS
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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